trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +28.1% | +15.9% | 67% | 67% | -28.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 43% | 43% | -38.8% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -23.3% | -30.6% | 43% | 43% | -38.8% |
| all | 14 | -23.1% | -30.4% | 43% | 43% | +9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.4% | 43% | +9.5% |
| 10% | -37.1% | 36% | -1.0% |
| 15% | -43.1% | 36% | -10.6% |
| 20% | -48.7% | 29% | -19.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 14¢ | 14¢ | $198 | $197 | −$1 (-0%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 20¢ | 19¢ | $125 | $119 | −$6 (-5%) |
| Japan vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 57¢ | 53¢ | $30 | $28 | −$2 (-7%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 25¢ | 24¢ | $26 | $26 | −$1 (-2%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador vs. Germany: Both Teams to Score | Jun 25 | $31 | +$25 | +79% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 24 | $202 | −$200 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $100 | +$105 | +105% |
| Mexico vs. Korea Republic: Both Teams to Score | Jun 18 | $99 | −$97 | -99% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $11 | −$11 | -98% |
| Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Jun 04 | $202 | +$105 | +52% |
| Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election? | Jun 03 | $199 | −$199 | -100% |
| First Round Pool C: South Korea vs. Chinese Taipei | Mar 08 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Will Korea win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | Mar 07 | $9 | −$6 | -68% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2025? | Apr 01 | $1,893 | −$1,893 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before May? | Apr 01 | $1,968 | −$1,968 | -100% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea before April? | Mar 26 | $3,990 | +$6,018 | +151% |
| Yoon out as president of South Korea in 2024? | Dec 04 | $1,998 | +$814 | +41% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $9,989 | +$1,695 | +17% |