Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T05:39:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6fe7…f0f7 crypto 654 markets active 6d ago coverage 7d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (96 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$9 (-1%) realized −$9 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -26% what you keep after slip
Net edge-26%after slip
Net WR55%break-even
Win rate55%360W / 294L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$1per market
Trades / day95.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$13
14 days−$21
30 days−$21
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$21
culture 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (96 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -11.8% -20.2% 51% 51% -18.1%
≤30d 654 -4.5% -13.6% 55% 55% -12.3%
≤90d 654 -4.5% -13.6% 55% 55% -12.3%
all 654 -4.5% -13.6% 55% 55% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover95.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 55% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -21.8% 54% -20.7%
15% -29.4% 54% -28.3%
20% -36.3% 52% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -3% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -3% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -3% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$1 · ×0.76 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.93 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

7d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses360 / 294
Open positions0
Markets (closed)654 / 654
History coverage7d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day95.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 654 Trades
no open positions (277 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +79%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1068 history records