Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fdc…953f
crypto · 656 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$565 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$657 · open −$92
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,125
Realized+$657
Unrealized−$92
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses199 / 448
Open positions14
Markets (closed)647 / 656
History coverage1d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day2259.5
Drawdown94%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 14 History 647 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$657
7 days+$657
14 days+$657
30 days+$657
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 71¢ 84¢ $270 $320 +$50 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 70¢ 81¢ $136 $160 +$23 (+17%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $120 $120 +$0 (+0%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 69¢ 74¢ $108 $116 +$8 (+8%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 66¢ 94¢ $80 $116 +$35 (+44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 47¢ 100¢ $24 $50 +$26 (+113%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 15¢ 16¢ $47 $47 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 25¢ 18¢ $44 $33 −$11 (-26%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 62¢ 68¢ $26 $29 +$3 (+10%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 9¢ 55¢ $4 $27 +$23 (+506%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 40¢ 46¢ $20 $23 +$3 (+15%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 25¢ 42¢ $12 $21 +$9 (+70%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Down 60¢ 57¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 29¢ 32¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+13%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Down 77¢ 72¢ $11 $10 −$1 (-7%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 24¢ 6¢ $30 $7 −$23 (-77%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET Up 15¢ 28¢ $2 $4 +$2 (+90%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 78¢ 70¢ $4 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $25 $2 −$23 (-94%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Up 42¢ 26¢ $1 $0 −$0 (-38%)
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$23 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 20, 6AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-99%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $184 +$57 +31%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $114 +$47 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $87 +$116 +133%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8AM ET Jun 12 $112 +$29 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$12 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$17 +133%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$13 +121%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$45 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$18 +59%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$22 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $167 +$23 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $253 −$49 -19%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $572 −$16 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 −$33 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +525%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $54 −$54 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $41 −$41 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $111 −$9 -8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $176 −$19 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6AM ET Jun 12 $291 +$19 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $54 +$5 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $95 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$54 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $145 −$45 -31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$629
other 0% −$63
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $64 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $12 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 8m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $15 12m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 25¢ $12 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 9¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 15¢ $15 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $16 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $18 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $30 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $11 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $13 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 23m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 23m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $170 25m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 647 -1.9% -11.2% 31% 27% -8.4%
≤30d 647 -1.9% -11.2% 31% 27% -8.4%
≤90d 647 -1.9% -11.2% 31% 27% -8.4%
all 647 -1.9% -11.2% 31% 27% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2259.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.2% 27% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.7% 23% -17.1%
15% -27.5% 20% -25.1%
20% -34.6% 17% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,125.46 · official $1,125.48 (match) · 3500 history records