Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fd6…e1f5
sports · 26 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$8 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$10 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized+$10
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses16 / 10
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)26 / 26
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown68%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 26 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$11
14 days+$10
30 days+$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $6 +$3 +45%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 14 $5 −$1 -15%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $3 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$2 +50%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $3 +$3 +102%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $10 +$7 +74%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $3 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $6 +$1 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$2 +119%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 07 $3 +$1 +44%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 $0 +2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $4 −$3 -89%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $11 $0 +4%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $1 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $6 +$5 +75%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 −$4 -33%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $11 +$2 +15%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 06 $2 −$2 -100%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $7 +$2 +34%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs NRG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $5 +$2 +40%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $2 −$2 -94%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $2 $0 -1%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 $0 -23%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sharks (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 04 $3 $0 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 20¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 11¢ $1 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 94¢ $4 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 45¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 28¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Knicks 28¢ $2 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 16¢ $1 2h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 24¢ $1 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 37¢ $2 4h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FUT Esports 53¢ $3 40h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $3 40h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $4 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner SELL Aurora Gaming 99¢ $6 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 37¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 66¢ $3 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 57¢ $2 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $5 5d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 47¢ $2 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 30¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 10¢ $0 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 45¢ $3 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner SELL BetBoom Team 99¢ $7 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 89¢ $6 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner SELL Anyones Legend 73¢ $4 5d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 33¢ $2 5d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL Spirit 99¢ $4 6d
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY Spirit 68¢ $3 6d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BUY FlyQuest 19¢ $1 6d
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 2 Winner SELL paiN 83¢ $4 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 14 +17.3% +6.2% 71% 43% +4.5%
≤30d 26 +5.5% -4.5% 62% 46% -2.4%
≤90d 26 +5.5% -4.5% 62% 46% -2.4%
all 26 +5.5% -4.5% 62% 46% -2.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -4.5% 46% -2.4%
10% -13.7% 38% -11.7%
15% -22.0% 35% -20.2%
20% -29.7% 19% -28.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 81 history records