Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:15:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fd0…a85b
crypto · 244 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$4,738 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,058 · open −$2,021
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$22,636
Realized+$4,058
Unrealized−$2,021
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses108 / 282
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions152
Markets (closed)390 / 244
Avg bet$266
Trades / day525.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 152 History 390 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,866
7 days+$4,058
14 days+$4,058
30 days+$4,058
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 87¢ 94¢ $1,952 $2,112 +$159 (+8%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? Yes 88¢ 100¢ $1,512 $1,724 +$212 (+14%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? No 95¢ 99¢ $1,117 $1,168 +$52 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 17? No 96¢ 98¢ $1,048 $1,076 +$28 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Yes 72¢ 100¢ $759 $1,056 +$297 (+39%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Yes 52¢ 88¢ $606 $1,023 +$417 (+69%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 8-14? No 94¢ 99¢ $763 $808 +$45 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 13? Yes 25¢ 55¢ $358 $768 +$410 (+115%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? Yes 24¢ 76¢ $236 $744 +$508 (+215%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 14? No 78¢ 86¢ $675 $740 +$65 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? No 75¢ 98¢ $516 $669 +$153 (+30%)
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? Yes 43¢ 44¢ $563 $566 +$3 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in June? Yes 76¢ 78¢ $530 $550 +$20 (+4%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 June 8-14? No 86¢ 98¢ $471 $539 +$67 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,000 June 8-14? No 97¢ 99¢ $463 $477 +$14 (+3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 13? No 77¢ 88¢ $381 $438 +$57 (+15%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 13? No 95¢ 100¢ $378 $399 +$21 (+6%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? Yes 54¢ 79¢ $248 $365 +$117 (+47%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 14? Yes 27¢ 48¢ $208 $361 +$153 (+73%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? No 71¢ 97¢ $243 $330 +$87 (+36%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 92¢ 97¢ $309 $324 +$15 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? Yes 56¢ 86¢ $205 $315 +$109 (+53%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 12? No 95¢ 100¢ $277 $291 +$14 (+5%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? No 91¢ 100¢ $255 $279 +$24 (+9%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 13? No 86¢ 97¢ $230 $259 +$29 (+13%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $146 −$298 -203%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on May 23? Jun 12 $63 −$73 -116%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $43 +$8 +19%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on June 1? Jun 12 $7 −$6 -79%
Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $29 −$17 -58%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $72,000 and $74,000 on June 7? Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 24? Jun 12 $3 −$1 -44%
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May? Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +12%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $25 +$43 +173%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 8? Jun 12 $35 −$35 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $5 −$12 -253%
Will Bitcoin reach $76,000 June 1-7? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 17? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on June 6? Jun 12 $9 +$18 +201%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on May 26? Jun 12 $148 −$124 -83%
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,000 and $2,100 on June 4? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $86 −$86 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 24? Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30? Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 16? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 8? Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 June 1-7? Jun 12 $182 −$182 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 26? Jun 12 $197 −$197 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 4? Jun 12 $6 +$17 +272%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 5? Jun 12 $8 $0 +1%
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 May 11-17? Jun 12 $27 −$27 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27? Jun 12 $8 +$24 +290%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 29? Jun 12 $63 −$63 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 7? Jun 12 $223 −$225 -101%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 24? Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 2? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 11-17? Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 5? Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 12 $46 −$48 -104%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on June 4? Jun 12 $83 −$106 -127%
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $74,000 and $76,000 on June 2? Jun 12 $134 −$134 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 25? Jun 12 $34 −$27 -79%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 19? Jun 12 $19 +$383 +1982%
Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31? Jun 12 $34 −$34 -100%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 14? Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$15,638
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 7¢ $6 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 58m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 5¢ $3 59m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 18? BUY No 7¢ $10 59m
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 14? BUY No 72¢ $86 59m
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 24¢ $58 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 6¢ $9 59m
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on June 17? BUY Yes 2¢ $17 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 6¢ $0 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 4¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY No 13¢ $13 1h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 4¢ $3 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,600 and $1,700 on June 12? BUY No 12¢ $12 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on June 12? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 14? BUY No 23¢ $48 2h
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 8-14? BUY No 96¢ $23 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 11¢ $2 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 7¢ $8 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 7¢ $8 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 27¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 18? BUY No 7¢ $17 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 4¢ $7 2h
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 12? BUY No 4¢ $5 2h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 12¢ $32 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)+90.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 390 +110.9% +90.8% 28% 25% -11.7%
≤30d 390 +110.9% +90.8% 28% 25% -11.7%
≤90d 390 +110.9% +90.8% 28% 25% -11.7%
all 390 +110.9% +90.8% 28% 25% -11.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover525.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +90.8% 25% -11.7%
10% ← realistic here +72.5% 22% -20.1%
15% +55.9% 22% -27.8%
20% +40.6% 20% -34.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22,636.30 · official $22,633.86 (match) · 3500 history records