Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fcb…a72e
crypto · 61 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$326 +7%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$626 · open −$300
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$106
Realized+$626
Unrealized−$300
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses32 / 27
Open positions2
Markets (closed)59 / 61
Avg bet$72
Trades / day7.8
Drawdown55%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 59 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$181
7 days−$181
14 days−$181
30 days+$626
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Up 50¢ 23¢ $230 $106 −$124 (-54%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $120 $0 −$120 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $88 $0 −$88 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $193 +$224 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $182 −$176 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$30 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$132 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $91 +$78 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $137 −$132 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $137 +$135 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $91 −$88 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$44 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$22 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$10 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET May 23 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET May 23 $3 +$1 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET May 23 $1 +$3 +252%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 22 $94 −$89 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 22 $45 +$49 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 22 $24 +$22 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 22 $14 +$10 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 22 $7 +$7 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET May 22 $62 +$47 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET May 22 $166 +$67 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET May 22 $119 +$106 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET May 22 $124 −$120 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET May 22 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET May 22 $160 +$146 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET May 22 $47 −$45 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET May 22 $21 −$20 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET May 22 $62 −$60 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET May 22 $103 +$81 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET May 22 $83 −$83 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET May 22 $145 +$115 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET May 22 $36 −$35 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET May 22 $176 +$143 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET May 22 $104 +$109 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET May 22 $21 +$43 +204%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET May 22 $124 +$116 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET May 22 $104 −$100 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET May 22 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET May 22 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET May 22 $52 +$39 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET May 22 $21 −$20 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET May 22 $20 −$20 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET May 22 $21 +$15 +73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 21 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 21 $16 +$13 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET May 18 $109 +$101 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET May 18 $38 −$37 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET May 18 $176 +$161 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET May 18 $26 −$25 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $23 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $46 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $46 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $46 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $46 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $46 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $46 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $46 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $75 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $45 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $46 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $46 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $46 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $46 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $45 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $45 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-1.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -36.1% -42.2% 33% 33% -24.2%
≤30d 59 +9.1% -1.3% 54% 54% +4.9%
≤90d 59 +9.1% -1.3% 54% 54% +4.9%
all 59 +9.1% -1.3% 54% 54% +4.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -1.3% 54% +4.9%
10% -10.7% 51% -5.1%
15% -19.4% 51% -14.3%
20% -27.3% 46% -22.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.80 · official $75.90 · 226 history records