Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:06:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fca…52db
crypto · 1444 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$227 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$227 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$227
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses890 / 931
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1821 / 1444
History coverage12d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day261.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 1821 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$251
7 days−$246
14 days−$227
30 days−$227
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Up 27¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 59¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 15¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 58¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Down $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Up $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 8PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +165%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 31, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 27, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 26, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 27, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 26, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 15, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - February 28, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - February 24, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$37
other 2% +$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Down 69¢ $4 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET SELL Down 71¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)-33.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1249 -38.6% -44.4% 44% 9% -17.3%
≤30d 1821 -26.3% -33.3% 49% 17% -13.6%
≤90d 1821 -26.3% -33.3% 49% 17% -13.6%
all 1821 -26.3% -33.3% 49% 17% -13.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover261.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.3% 17% -13.6%
10% ← realistic here -39.7% 8% -21.8%
15% -45.5% 5% -29.4%
20% -50.8% 3% -36.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records