Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:46:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fbf…d227
sports · 47 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$55 -9%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open −$28
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$178
Realized−$27
Unrealized−$28
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses19 / 13
Est. fees paid−$6
Open positions15
Markets (closed)32 / 47
History coverage93d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 15 History 32 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $59 $67 +$8 (+14%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan India 81¢ 100¢ $25 $31 +$6 (+24%)
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ 100¢ $5 $18 +$13 (+270%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 71¢ 100¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+41%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 35¢ 29¢ $15 $12 −$3 (-17%)
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 82¢ 100¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+22%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner MOUZ 50¢ 100¢ $5 $10 +$5 (+100%)
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner The Last Resort 69¢ 100¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+45%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 59¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner UCAM Esports Club 1¢ 0¢ $34 $1 −$33 (-96%)
ODI Series India vs Afghanistan: India vs Afghanistan Afghanistan 19¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner PURE 21¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa South Africa 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner Team Heretics Academy 57¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Nexus 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $25 +$12 +46%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: RUSTEC vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $30 −$10 -34%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland Jun 13 $20 −$4 -18%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $20 −$4 -19%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $25 +$7 +27%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$17 +344%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$18 +365%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Counter-Strike: Entropy vs Gatorian (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $5 +$7 +137%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $30 −$5 -15%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 13 $10 $0 +1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $5 $0 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 09 $55 $0 +0%
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by June 30, 2026? Mar 14 $15 $0 +1%
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 15, 2026? Mar 14 $25 $0 +1%
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by March 31, 2026? Mar 14 $10 $0 +3%
Will Russia capture Hryshyne by April 30, 2026? Mar 14 $10 $0 +2%
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 9 be betwee Mar 13 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 70% −$65
crypto 18% +$8
world 10% +$1
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $5 16m
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner BUY PURE 21¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 1¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 1¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 1¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 1¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 1¢ $5 1h
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS - Game 1 Winner BUY Vivo Keyd Stars 27¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 71¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 71¢ $5 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 82¢ $5 1h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 82¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 58¢ $5 1h
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner BUY UCAM Esports Club 48¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Nexus (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 35¢ $3 1h
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 2 Winner BUY Team Heretics Academy 57¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 33¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 35¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 50¢ $5 1h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 2 Winner BUY The Last Resort 69¢ $5 2h
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Panna Udvardy vs Katie Volynets BUY Katie Volynets 92¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen - Map 1 Winner BUY Dripmen 30¢ $0 3h
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 94¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 82¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 20¢ $5 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 33¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY Monte 43¢ $5 3h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY Aurora Gaming 41¢ $5 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 27 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 33% -16.7%
≤30d 27 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 33% -16.7%
≤90d 27 +2.2% -7.6% 52% 33% -16.7%
all 32 +2.1% -7.6% 59% 28% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.6% 28% -15.3%
10% -16.5% 22% -23.4%
15% -24.5% 16% -30.8%
20% -31.9% 9% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $177.91 · official $177.91 (match) · 158 history records