trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 4% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.3% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $67 | +$67 (+0%) |
| Pierce Brosnan announced as next James Bond? | No | 0¢ | 100¢ | $0 | $56 | +$56 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mohsen Araki be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 22 | $999 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Sacramento Kings win the 2027 NBA Finals? | Jun 22 | $991 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | May 15 | $72 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | May 15 | $25 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 15 | $22 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? | May 12 | $67 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 12 | $839 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $700B and $800B at market close on | May 12 | $819 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 12 | $850 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Alejandro Davidovich Fokina win the 2026 Men's French Open? | May 11 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 11 | $35 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Robert Jenrick be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom i | May 11 | $856 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 11 | $857 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 me | May 10 | $879 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 10 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Dinorah Figuera be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | May 10 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | May 10 | $846 | −$2 | -0% |
| Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 09 | $194 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Juan Daniel Oviedo win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | Apr 09 | $65 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? | Apr 09 | $28 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Apr 06 | $198 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? | Apr 05 | $21 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 05 | $64 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on April 1? | Apr 02 | $17 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 01 | $177 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Columbus Blue Jackets win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | Apr 01 | $37 | $0 | -0% |