Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:49:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fbe…5920
crypto · 824 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$513 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$498 · open −$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$498
Unrealized−$15
Win rate (resolved)53%
Wins / losses432 / 390
Open positions2
Markets (closed)822 / 824
History coverage8d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day315.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 2 History 822 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$92
7 days−$421
14 days−$498
30 days−$498
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 55¢ 98¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+79%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Up 51¢ 90¢ $10 $18 +$8 (+77%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 46¢ 10¢ $9 $2 −$7 (-79%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 44¢ 2¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-97%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 8, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 5, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$8 -26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $20 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $20 $0 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$3 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $23 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$1 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$6 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $12 +$1 +11%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$5 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $19 +$2 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$16 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $13 +$1 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $18 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $9 −$2 -21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$5 -15%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 −$2 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $33 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $35 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $19 $0 -2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $33 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $38 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 11 $16 +$2 +13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$341
other 17% −$172
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $9 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 4m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $7 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $20 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $6 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $10 14m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $8 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 41¢ $8 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $10 19m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $10 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 24¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 28¢ $6 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $10 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $20 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $10 29m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $10 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $8 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $7 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 44¢ $9 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $10 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 35m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-12.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 499 -7.3% -16.2% 46% 20% -16.0%
≤30d 822 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 33% -14.4%
≤90d 822 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 33% -14.4%
all 822 -3.7% -12.9% 53% 33% -14.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover315.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.9% 33% -14.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.2% 16% -22.6%
15% -28.8% 4% -30.1%
20% -35.8% 2% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.79 · official $37.78 (match) · 3500 history records