Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:12:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6fad…6b49
sports · 45 markets active 2h ago
3.0score
+$64 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$64 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$64
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses22 / 23
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions0
Markets (closed)45 / 45
History coverage15d
Avg bet$27
Trades / day4.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 45 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days+$82
14 days+$89
30 days+$64
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 THUNDER dOWNUNDER 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 45¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 41¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner Imperial 58¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage ASTRAL 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 13¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 TYLOO 14¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 61¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs Sharks 34¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sharks 44¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Gaimin Gladiators 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner TheMongolz 5¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 TYLOO 47¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 19¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 34¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 G2 39¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 B8 20¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Monte 38¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage HAVU 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Sharks 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 TYLOO 42¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $201 +$29 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 +$9 +172%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $51 +$30 +59%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $10 +$4 +36%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $51 +$28 +55%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $36 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $26 −$25 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $3 −$3 -97%
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se Jun 10 $36 +$46 +128%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 10 $30 −$1 -4%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $36 +$39 +110%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $16 −$16 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $20 +$15 +76%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $50 +$17 +34%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $36 +$34 +97%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $10 −$10 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $30 −$30 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$32 +105%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $30 +$30 +97%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 06 $30 +$10 +32%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $30 +$19 +62%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 03 $20 +$17 +82%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $20 +$16 +79%
Counter-Strike: Gaimin Gladiators vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: THUNDER dOWNUNDER vs BIG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Sta Jun 03 $5 −$5 -98%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs Lynn Vision (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 03 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Liquid (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 02 $20 +$13 +65%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $15 +$23 +152%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $15 −$15 -98%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 02 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Sta Jun 02 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Circuit X Base Reci Jun 01 $10 +$33 +325%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 May 31 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Rebels Gaming vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Grou May 31 $51 −$50 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $20 +$26 +129%
Counter-Strike: ShindeN vs Imperial - Map 2 Winner May 28 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: magic vs FaZe (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $15 +$9 +57%
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $10 +$16 +158%
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffs May 28 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% +$64
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Spirit 100¢ $230 1h
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 87¢ $201 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Monte 100¢ $14 6h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL FURIA 100¢ $81 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 33¢ $10 9h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 54¢ $25 10h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Monte 36¢ $5 10h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner SELL B8 35¢ $13 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 13¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 13¢ $5 12h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 62¢ $51 24h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 11¢ $5 31h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 19¢ $5 31h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 64¢ $51 32h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 19¢ $5 34h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 17¢ $5 35h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner BUY TheMongolz 5¢ $3 35h
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY G2 Ares 35¢ $5 2d
Counter-Strike: G2 Ares vs Young Ninjas (BO3) - European Pro League Se BUY G2 Ares 45¢ $30 2d
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Monte 38¢ $10 2d
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY B8 28¢ $15 2d
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY G2 39¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY FUT Esports 20¢ $20 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL MOUZ 57¢ $29 2d
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 58¢ $30 2d
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S BUY TheMongolz 51¢ $30 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY B8 25¢ $5 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 2¢ $1 3d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL Monte 100¢ $36 3d
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY TYLOO 17¢ $5 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-10.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 26 -5.7% -14.7% 50% 50% -0.8%
≤30d 45 -0.9% -10.3% 49% 49% -4.7%
≤90d 45 -0.9% -10.3% 49% 49% -4.7%
all 45 -0.9% -10.3% 49% 49% -4.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.3% 49% -4.7%
10% -18.9% 47% -13.9%
15% -26.7% 42% -22.2%
20% -33.9% 42% -29.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 79 history records