trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 0% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 17% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 27 | +2.2% | -7.5% | 52% | 30% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.5% | 30% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -16.4% | 26% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.4% | 15% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -31.8% | 4% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Kinetiq reach $1 before 2027? | No | 83¢ | 85¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2026 World Series? | Jun 20 | $400 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Apr 27 | $310 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Apr 27 | $600 | −$2 | -0% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Ilhan Omar | Apr 25 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 28 | $80 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Mar 28 | $140 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 06 | $240 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | Mar 06 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will it Snow in Pittsburgh this December? | Jan 25 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: Military Edition | Jan 25 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Hezbollah strike on Israel by December 31? | Jan 25 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Will Google One be #1 Grossing App in Play Store on December 19? | Jan 25 | $2 | +$1 | +51% |
| Will Lyft say "Competition" during earnings call? | Nov 22 | $2 | −$1 | -48% |
| Trump Mobile smartphone released before September? | Sep 18 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Palmeiras beat Chelsea in regulation time? | Jul 21 | $1 | $0 | +32% |
| The 'Bill' Epstein Parlay | Jul 03 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Nic win Season 7 of Love Island USA? | Jun 25 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will DOGE cut $1B from USAID before March? | May 16 | $3 | +$1 | +45% |
| Will Trump impose tariffs on China before March? | Feb 07 | $6 | −$4 | -70% |
| 100+ Bird Flu cases by Friday? | Jan 29 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will another driver win the 2024 F1 season? | Nov 20 | $1,024 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Mark Farrell win the San Francisco Mayoral Election? | Nov 17 | $20 | +$9 | +42% |
| Will there be less than 16 named storms during Atlantic Hurricane Seas | Oct 16 | $21 | −$3 | -14% |
| Will a Democrat win Washington US Senate Election? | Oct 03 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or? | Sep 25 | $12 | +$3 | +24% |
| Will Jill Biden speak at the DNC? | Sep 08 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will China invade Taiwan in 2024? | Aug 11 | $140 | $0 | -0% |