trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.2% | -8.5% | 100% | 0% | -8.5% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 70% | 10% | -5.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -6.5% | -15.4% | 74% | 26% | -1.6% |
| all | 27 | -4.7% | -13.8% | 70% | 26% | -3.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.8% | 26% | -3.7% |
| 10% | -22.0% | 7% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -29.6% | 4% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -36.5% | 4% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 92¢ | 99¢ | $330 | $356 | +$26 (+8%) |
| Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? | No | 76¢ | 92¢ | $100 | $121 | +$21 (+21%) |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $3 | $3 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? | Jun 24 | $50 | +$1 | +1% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$1 | -11% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026? | Jun 09 | $100 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture Serhiivka by July 31? | Jun 04 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026? | Jun 02 | $390 | +$8 | +2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by May 31? | Jun 01 | $75 | +$3 | +4% |
| Will Russia enter Dobropillia by May 31? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$5 | +5% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Maliivka by May 31? | Jun 01 | $100 | +$21 | +21% |
| Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31? | May 29 | $6 | −$1 | -22% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by May 31? | May 25 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by May 31? | May 18 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30? | May 09 | $150 | +$34 | +23% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by May 31, 2026? | May 01 | $150 | +$7 | +4% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by April 30, 2026? | May 01 | $49 | +$2 | +5% |
| Will Russia enter Vozdvyzhivka by April 30? | May 01 | $228 | +$12 | +5% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by April 30? | Apr 27 | $270 | +$56 | +21% |
| Will Russia enter Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by April 30? | Apr 27 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31? | Apr 01 | $179 | +$32 | +18% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | Apr 01 | $90 | +$59 | +66% |
| Will Russia enter Svitle by April 30? | Mar 16 | $95 | −$27 | -29% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Uspenivka by March 31? | Mar 14 | $99 | −$4 | -4% |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | Mar 13 | $102 | −$2 | -2% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by February 28? | Mar 02 | $71 | +$8 | +11% |
| Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by January 31? | Feb 02 | $20 | $0 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | Jan 28 | $10 | $0 | +2% |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026? | Jan 28 | $10 | +$1 | +11% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | Jan 24 | $10 | $0 | +5% |