trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +33.2% | +20.5% | 54% | 50% | +30.9% |
| ≤30d | 47 | +21.4% | +9.8% | 51% | 47% | +24.6% |
| ≤90d | 47 | +21.4% | +9.8% | 51% | 47% | +24.6% |
| all | 48 | +20.0% | +8.6% | 50% | 46% | +24.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +8.6% | 46% | +24.2% |
| 10% | -1.8% | 46% | +12.3% |
| 15% | -11.3% | 44% | +1.4% |
| 20% | -20.0% | 31% | -8.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Yes | 68¢ | 52¢ | $50 | $38 | −$12 (-24%) |
| Spread: Croatia (-1.5) | Croatia | 44¢ | 24¢ | $50 | $27 | −$23 (-47%) |
| Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 30¢ | 32¢ | $10 | $10 | +$0 (+5%) |
| Spread: Croatia (-2.5) | Croatia | 23¢ | 8¢ | $28 | $9 | −$19 (-67%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 34¢ | 21¢ | $2 | $1 | −$1 (-38%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: France (-5.5) | Jun 23 | $9 | −$9 | -97% |
| Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $10 | +$4 | +35% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 23 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $31 | +$14 | +46% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $32 | +$46 | +146% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 22 | $6 | −$6 | -96% |
| Will Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 22 | $12 | +$40 | +325% |
| Spread: New Zealand (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $101 | +$44 | +44% |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $61 | +$85 | +140% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $20 | +$75 | +365% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $10 | +$5 | +46% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $16 | +$10 | +62% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | +$18 | +172% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 19 | $10 | −$3 | -25% |
| Spread: Czechia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $22 | −$22 | -98% |
| Spread: Colombia (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $10 | +$10 | +101% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$7 | -72% |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Will England vs. Croatia end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $11 | −$4 | -40% |
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $12 | −$12 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $10 | +$9 | +86% |
| Spread: Argentina (-2.5) | Jun 17 | $5 | +$17 | +324% |
| Will France vs. Senegal end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $12 | −$7 | -60% |
| Will IR Iran vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$4 | +40% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$4 | -71% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $10 | −$9 | -89% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$7 | +70% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $10 | +$43 | +419% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $10 | −$7 | -71% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $11 | −$5 | -40% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | −$9 | -87% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $10 | +$7 | +73% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 14 | $20 | +$11 | +57% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$5 | -49% |
| Spread: Scotland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $30 | +$33 | +108% |
| Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) | Jun 12 | $2 | −$2 | -94% |
| Spread: Mexico (-1.5) | Jun 11 | $2 | +$3 | +145% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $10 | +$4 | +43% |
| US government shutdown Saturday? | Jan 30 | $5 | −$2 | -46% |