trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -20.0% | -27.6% | 75% | 0% | -49.7% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 86% | 14% | -9.6% |
| all | 14 | -1.1% | -10.5% | 71% | 14% | -9.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.5% | 14% | -9.0% |
| 10% | -19.1% | 7% | -17.7% |
| 15% | -26.9% | 7% | -25.7% |
| 20% | -34.1% | 7% | -32.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 4–8%? | No | 94¢ | 100¢ | $17 | $18 | +$1 (+6%) |
| Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? | No | 91¢ | 67¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-26%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Hermannstadt vs. FCSB: O/U 5.5 | Jun 06 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| UD Almería vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 5.5 | Jun 06 | $16 | +$1 | +8% |
| Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Samsunspor: O/U 5.5 | May 18 | $18 | +$1 | +8% |
| Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5 | May 18 | $33 | −$33 | -100% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the | Mar 18 | $1,417 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $190-$195 on the final day of trading of t | Mar 18 | $106 | +$21 | +20% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the e | Mar 18 | $2,961 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | Mar 18 | $23 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Mirra Andreeva be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Mar 18 | $114 | −$17 | -15% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1120-1159 tweets in March 2026? | Mar 18 | $1,430 | +$6 | +0% |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | Mar 18 | $1,415 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will Manuel Saavedra win the 2026 Santa Cruz de la Sierra mayoral elec | Mar 18 | $1,431 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 18 | $14 | +$1 | +9% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $185 on March 17? | Mar 18 | $127 | +$68 | +54% |