trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 50% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 33% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 10% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 21 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 10% | 0% | -9.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.8% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.4% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -26.3% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.5% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? | Jun 30 | $115 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 25 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $115 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 28 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina | May 23 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 18 | $116 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 mee | May 11 | $116 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 08 | $356 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 03 | $117 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sergio Pérez be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 18 | $118 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in March? | Mar 27 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 22 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 19 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 15 | $245 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Mar 14 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election | Mar 11 | $245 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Esteban Ocon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 02 | $245 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | Feb 07 | $254 | −$9 | -4% |
| Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 30 | $254 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oviedo win the 2025–26 La Liga? | Dec 31 | $247 | $0 | -0% |
| Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Dec 30 | $243 | $0 | -0% |