trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -39.1% | -44.9% | 33% | 33% | -58.8% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 50% | 50% | -36.4% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 50% | 50% | -36.4% |
| all | 4 | -13.2% | -21.4% | 50% | 50% | -36.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -21.4% | 50% | -36.4% |
| 10% | -29.0% | 50% | -42.5% |
| 15% | -35.8% | 50% | -48.0% |
| 20% | -42.1% | 25% | -53.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 6¢ | $800 | $1,110 | +$310 (+39%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 16¢ | 20¢ | $810 | $988 | +$178 (+22%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 7¢ | $700 | $466 | −$234 (-34%) |
| Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $315 | $337 | +$22 (+7%) |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 28¢ | 62¢ | $84 | $184 | +$100 (+120%) |
| Will New Zealand vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Yes | 24¢ | 24¢ | $96 | $94 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Japan be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup? | Yes | 43¢ | 44¢ | $48 | $49 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $50 | $25 | −$25 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 19 | $547 | +$217 | +40% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $2,128 | −$1,210 | -57% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $1,562 | −$1,030 | -66% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Car | Jun 15 | $972 | +$627 | +64% |