trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | -1.9% | -11.2% | 12% | 12% | -0.1% |
| ≤30d | 13 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 23% | 23% | +1.6% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 23% | 23% | +1.6% |
| all | 13 | -19.4% | -27.1% | 23% | 23% | +1.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.1% | 23% | +1.6% |
| 10% | -34.1% | 15% | -8.1% |
| 15% | -40.4% | 15% | -17.0% |
| 20% | -46.3% | 8% | -25.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | No | 76¢ | 82¢ | $30 | $33 | +$3 (+9%) |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | Yes | 31¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $24 | +$14 (+144%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | No | 90¢ | 97¢ | $20 | $22 | +$2 (+8%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? | No | 43¢ | 42¢ | $20 | $20 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? | Yes | 42¢ | 16¢ | $50 | $19 | −$31 (-62%) |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? | No | 31¢ | 30¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-5%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Yes | 21¢ | 20¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-7%) |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? | Yes | 26¢ | 7¢ | $50 | $14 | −$36 (-72%) |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $1.30T and $1.40T on June 30? | Yes | 79¢ | 47¢ | $20 | $12 | −$8 (-41%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 12¢ | 12¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-4%) |
| Nothing Ever Happens: June | Something | 16¢ | 4¢ | $10 | $2 | −$8 (-75%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June? | Yes | 37¢ | 8¢ | $10 | $2 | −$8 (-77%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 20, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET | Jun 20 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET | Jun 20 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET | Jun 19 | $26 | −$26 | -100% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Will Scotland vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 19 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET | Jun 19 | $27 | −$27 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET | Jun 19 | $27 | +$182 | +685% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June? | Jun 05 | $77 | +$37 | +48% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 4? | Jun 05 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Selangor Red Giants vs Bigetron MY by VIT (B | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on June 2? | Jun 04 | $226 | +$34 | +15% |