trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026? | May 23 | $3,180 | −$3,180 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 23 | $3,335 | −$3,335 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | May 21 | $3,335 | −$3,335 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | May 17 | $3,335 | −$3,335 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | May 12 | $2,335 | −$2,335 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? | May 10 | $2,000 | −$2,000 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026? | May 06 | $1,700 | −$1,700 | -100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | May 06 | $1,700 | −$1,700 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 8 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 15% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| 20% | -100.0% | 0% | -100.0% |