Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T11:15:14+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6f41…f3ec sports 114 markets active 2h ago coverage 38d
TRAPdo not copy sports specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$69 (-1%) realized −$69 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -15% what you keep after slip
Net edge-15%after slip
Net WR38%break-even
Win rate87%99W / 15L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$49per market
Trades / day6.8pace
Fees−$25est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$6
7 days+$34
14 days+$63
30 days+$108
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
sports 100% −$90
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +38%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 7 +10.6% +0.1% 100% 43% -3.2%
≤30d 68 -0.5% -10.0% 90% 41% -6.5%
≤90d 114 -2.1% -11.4% 87% 38% -11.0%
all 114 -2.1% -11.4% 87% 38% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.4% 38% -11.0%
10% -19.9% 4% -19.5%
15% -27.6% 0% -27.3%
20% -34.7% 0% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 16% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
53% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -5% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.4 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$37 · ×0.13 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.84 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

38d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$69
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses99 / 15
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)114 / 114
History coverage38d
Avg bet$49
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 114 Trades
no open positions (11 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner Jun 19 $27 +$3 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne Jun 18 $27 +$3 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La Jun 15 $71 +$6 +9%
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs Jun 14 $32 +$8 +26%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $105 +$4 +4%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $53 +$7 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $177 +$3 +2%
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 11 $35 +$5 +16%
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA Jun 11 $114 +$6 +5%
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 10 $113 +$7 +6%
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In Jun 09 $55 +$5 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn Jun 09 $27 +$3 +11%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn Jun 09 $27 +$3 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner Jun 09 $27 +$3 +11%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner Jun 09 $28 +$2 +7%
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & Jun 08 $48 +$3 +6%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $124 +$6 +5%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $41 −$41 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $28 +$2 +7%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 07 $55 +$5 +9%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $58 +$2 +3%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $114 +$4 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 06 $100 +$4 +4%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 05 $97 +$8 +8%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 03 $101 +$4 +4%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $17 +$2 +11%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $18 +$2 +10%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $14 +$3 +19%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $17 +$3 +17%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 31 $94 +$11 +12%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 30 $18 +$2 +13%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner May 30 $18 +$2 +12%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $70 +$11 +15%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 30 $36 +$4 +11%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $36 +$4 +10%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $182 +$18 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $19 +$1 +5%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $33 +$6 +18%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challe May 29 $31 +$9 +29%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $80 +$10 +12%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 27 $15 −$7 -45%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $18 +$2 +12%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challe May 26 $9 +$1 +14%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 26 $8 +$2 +20%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World C May 25 $34 +$6 +18%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 - Game 3 Winner May 25 $9 $0 +5%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $18 +$2 +12%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 24 $149 +$6 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner SELL KT Rolster Challengers 99¢ $30 1h
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers - Game 1 Winner BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $27 1h
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Nongshim Esports Academy - Game 2 Winne BUY KT Rolster Challengers 90¢ $27 23h
LoL: Galions vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs BUY Galions 79¢ $32 4d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 94¢ $5 5d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 94¢ $26 5d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 94¢ $16 5d
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs Saigon Warriors (BO3) - Asia Masters La BUY KT Rolster Challengers 88¢ $24 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $109 5d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $105 6d
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Gen.G 90¢ $180 6d
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 89¢ $4 7d
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 89¢ $40 7d
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C BUY G2 NORD 89¢ $9 7d
LoL: Solary vs Eintracht Spandau (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Solary 86¢ $35 8d
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA BUY LOS 95¢ $10 8d
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA BUY LOS 95¢ $95 8d
LoL: LOS vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATA BUY LOS 95¢ $9 8d
LoL: Solary vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BUY Solary 94¢ $113 9d
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs Verdant (BO3) - EMEA Masters Play-In BUY Karmine Corp Blue 91¢ $55 9d
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 2 Winn BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 90¢ $27 10d
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Weibo Gaming Youth Team - Game 1 Winn BUY Nongshim Esports Academy 90¢ $27 10d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 Academy 90¢ $27 10d
LoL: Bilibili Gaming Junior vs T1 Academy - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 Academy 93¢ $28 10d
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & SELL RED Canids 96¢ $51 10d
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY RED Canids 90¢ $30 10d
LoL: RED Canids vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & BUY RED Canids 89¢ $18 10d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 95¢ $124 10d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Anyones Legend 68¢ $41 11d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner SELL Bilibili Gaming 99¢ $30 11d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 292 history records