Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:03:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f3f…d6ce
crypto · 124 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -11%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$38 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$38
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses59 / 65
Open positions0
Markets (closed)124 / 124
History coverage7d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day25.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 124 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$11
7 days−$38
14 days−$38
30 days−$38
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 8, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$1 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 09 $2 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 09 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$38
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $1 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 89¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET SELL Down 74¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-20.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 124 -12.3% -20.7% 48% 42% -25.7%
≤30d 124 -12.3% -20.7% 48% 42% -25.7%
≤90d 124 -12.3% -20.7% 48% 42% -25.7%
all 124 -12.3% -20.7% 48% 42% -25.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.7% 42% -25.7%
10% ← realistic here -28.3% 40% -32.8%
15% -35.2% 33% -39.3%
20% -41.6% 28% -45.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 277 history records