trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -2.8% | -12.0% | 0% | 0% | -13.0% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 11% | 0% | -11.4% |
| ≤90d | 9 | -1.8% | -11.2% | 11% | 0% | -11.4% |
| all | 26 | -0.7% | -10.2% | 27% | 0% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.2% | 0% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -18.8% | 0% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -26.6% | 0% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -33.8% | 0% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? | No | 96¢ | 96¢ | $36 | $36 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 16 | $43 | −$4 | -8% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | Jun 11 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Netanyahu out by June 30? | Jun 10 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30? | Jun 09 | $46 | −$3 | -6% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $38 | −$1 | -2% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $88 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 05 | $42 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025? | Jan 31 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Dec 06 | $33 | +$1 | +2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Oct 11 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Oct 11 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025? | Oct 01 | $32 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Evelyn Matthei win the Chilean presidential election? | Sep 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump deport less than 250,000? | Sep 25 | $33 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Sep 25 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will XRP dip to $2.00 in September? | Sep 24 | $33 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Solana dip to $160 in September? | Sep 24 | $33 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Sep 24 | $35 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva be the first leader out in 2025? | Aug 27 | $3 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Aug 22 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Taylor Fritz win the 2025 US Open? | Aug 21 | $6 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Aug 21 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 21 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on Decemb | Aug 21 | $38 | $0 | +0% |