Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:40:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f35…3b38
crypto · 189 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$215 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,681 · open −$34
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$280
Realized−$2,681
Unrealized−$34
Win rate (resolved)19%
Wins / losses130 / 548
Open positions3
Markets (closed)678 / 189
History coverage1d
Avg bet$81
Trades / day3226.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 678 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,681
7 days−$2,681
14 days−$2,681
30 days−$2,681
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 51¢ 100¢ $51 $99 +$49 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $50 $50 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 50¢ 48¢ $43 $41 −$2 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Down 50¢ 52¢ $38 $39 +$1 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-99%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$138
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 47¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 49¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 52¢ $3 3m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-75.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 678 -73.1% -75.7% 19% 0% -23.4%
≤30d 678 -73.1% -75.7% 19% 0% -23.4%
≤90d 678 -73.1% -75.7% 19% 0% -23.4%
all 678 -73.1% -75.7% 19% 0% -23.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3226.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -75.7% 0% -23.4%
10% ← realistic here -78.0% 0% -30.7%
15% -80.1% 0% -37.4%
20% -82.1% 0% -43.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $279.69 · official $279.49 (match) · 3500 history records