Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:50:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f2a…de7d
crypto · 382 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$4,803 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,956 · open −$1,019
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,439
Realized−$3,956
Unrealized−$1,019
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses111 / 255
Est. fees paid−$58
Open positions25
Markets (closed)366 / 382
History coverage44d
Avg bet$97
Trades / day76.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 25 History 366 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,853
7 days−$2,547
14 days−$419
30 days+$1,172
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,200 (LOW) in December? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $720 $826 +$106 (+15%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $700 in June? Yes 17¢ 20¢ $197 $232 +$35 (+18%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? Yes 20¢ 21¢ $164 $171 +$8 (+5%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? Yes 17¢ 8¢ $345 $156 −$189 (-55%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? Yes 16¢ 28¢ $75 $131 +$56 (+74%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,700 (LOW) in June? Yes 15¢ 8¢ $190 $104 −$85 (-45%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June? Yes 11¢ 11¢ $105 $102 −$4 (-3%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? No 13¢ 6¢ $195 $97 −$97 (-50%)
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes 20¢ 22¢ $84 $90 +$5 (+6%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,300 (LOW) in June? Yes 12¢ 2¢ $433 $89 −$344 (-79%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? Yes 21¢ 12¢ $146 $82 −$64 (-44%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? Yes 22¢ 24¢ $60 $64 +$5 (+8%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 27¢ 42¢ $41 $64 +$23 (+56%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $680 in June? Yes 12¢ 6¢ $107 $54 −$53 (-50%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? Yes 26¢ 22¢ $52 $45 −$7 (-14%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June? Yes 9¢ 1¢ $411 $41 −$370 (-90%)
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? Yes 34¢ 42¢ $17 $21 +$4 (+22%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $4,500 (LOW) in December? Yes 10¢ 8¢ $20 $16 −$4 (-20%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? No 3¢ 1¢ $31 $15 −$16 (-51%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 50¢ 68¢ $10 $14 +$4 (+35%)
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,500 (LOW) in June? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $18 $13 −$4 (-25%)
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes 3¢ 1¢ $22 $5 −$17 (-77%)
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? Yes 13¢ 15¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+15%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+0%)
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $11 $2 −$9 (-85%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on April 30? Jun 13 $286 −$286 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 30? Jun 13 $83 −$83 -100%
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April? Jun 13 $87 −$87 -100%
Will NVIDIA dip to $168 in April? Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in April? Jun 13 $54 −$54 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 on April 29? Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $705 Week of April 27 2026? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Powell say "Good Afternoon" during April press conference? Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April? Jun 13 $63 −$63 -100%
Iran leadership change by April 30? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $24 +$26 +109%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $248 −$239 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 13? Jun 12 $96 −$90 -94%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 12? Jun 12 $290 −$110 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$308 +209%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $112 −$109 -97%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 12? Jun 12 $54 −$53 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10AM ET Jun 12 $195 −$194 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$100 -96%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $143 −$136 -95%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $19 −$18 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $196 −$190 -97%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $263 −$260 -99%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be less Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $35 −$34 -98%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 12 $60 −$58 -97%
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 11 $78 +$71 +91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4PM ET Jun 11 $40 +$32 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3PM ET Jun 11 $27 −$26 -96%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 11? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 11? Jun 11 $63 −$63 -100%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 11? Jun 11 $24 −$24 -100%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $22 −$21 -97%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 11 $33 −$31 -94%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $160 −$151 -95%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $51 −$50 -97%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $21 +$28 +136%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 10 $77 +$181 +236%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $750 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 10 $28 −$19 -68%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $244 +$117 +48%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on June 10? Jun 10 $12 −$12 -94%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? Jun 10 $107 +$40 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $88 −$86 -98%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Jun 10 $39 −$39 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $90 −$88 -97%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 10? Jun 10 $2 −$2 -100%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $730 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 09 $35 +$83 +233%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $735 Week of June 8 2026? Jun 09 $53 +$47 +89%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$1,984
finance 19% −$1,929
sports 6% +$294
other 2% −$599
tech 0% −$22
world 0% −$62
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $0 47m
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 52m
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $0 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $63,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 13? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 7¢ $21 1h
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? BUY Yes 11¢ $12 3h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? BUY Yes 25¢ $3 3h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $50 3h
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY 24¢ $51 3h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN BUY 21¢ $26 3h
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa BUY South Africa 7¢ $21 4h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $1 5h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? BUY Yes 23¢ $0 5h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $3 6h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $0 6h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 24¢ $21 7h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? BUY Yes 22¢ $28 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 24¢ $3 7h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June? BUY Yes 34¢ $17 7h
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? BUY Yes 24¢ $0 7h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 15? BUY No 11¢ $33 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $2 9h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? BUY No 2¢ $1 9h
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,100 (LOW) in June? BUY Yes 23¢ $6 12h
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June? BUY Yes 23¢ $0 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-14.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 78 -28.7% -35.5% 24% 24% -50.4%
≤30d 226 +7.6% -2.6% 35% 34% -2.6%
≤90d 366 -5.8% -14.8% 30% 30% -20.4%
all 366 -5.8% -14.8% 30% 30% -20.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.8% 30% -20.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.9% 29% -28.0%
15% -30.4% 29% -35.0%
20% -37.2% 27% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,439.33 · official $2,586.22 · 3500 history records