Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T17:58:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6f1e…1212 crypto 320 markets active 1h ago coverage 202d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$655 (-5%) realized −$655 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -3% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR32%break-even
Win rate81%258W / 62L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$44per market
Trades / day2.8pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$48
7 days−$48
14 days−$263
30 days−$389
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% −$543
world 15% −$230
sports 0% +$4
other 0% +$1
weather 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 20 -8.6% -17.3% 75% 50% -17.6%
≤30d 161 -8.0% -16.7% 78% 25% -15.6%
≤90d 223 -4.3% -13.5% 78% 35% -13.9%
all 320 -3.1% -12.4% 81% 32% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover2.8 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.4% 32% -14.5%
10% -20.7% 18% -22.7%
15% -28.4% 12% -30.1%
20% -35.4% 9% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 21% · top 2 28% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
60% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late -7% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$5 vs −$33 · ×0.15 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.63 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

202d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$655
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)81%
Wins / losses258 / 62
Open positions0
Markets (closed)320 / 320
History coverage202d
Avg bet$44
Trades / day2.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 320 Trades
no open positions (44 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 19 $1 +$1 +86%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 19 $1 −$1 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$5 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$2 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 19 $31 +$5 +15%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 19 $30 +$4 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 19 $61 +$7 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 19 $21 −$20 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$8 +27%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 19 $20 +$7 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 19 $15 +$12 +79%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 19 $31 −$30 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 19 $30 −$30 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 19 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 19 $30 +$3 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 18 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$7 +22%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 18 $30 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $30 +$5 +16%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 11 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 09 $30 +$1 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 08 $28 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 08 $30 +$4 +13%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 08 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 08 $24 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 08 $30 +$2 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 08 $30 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$2 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$4 +12%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$2 +7%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$1 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$1 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$4 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$1 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 07 $5 −$5 -97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 07 $5 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 07 $30 +$3 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 07 $102 −$100 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 39m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $31 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $6 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Down 65¢ $13 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $31 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 19, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 822 history records