Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:45:50+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f1b…262a
crypto · 134 markets active 24d ago
4.0score
+$57,542 +1632%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$57,542 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$22
Realized+$57,542
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)99%
Wins / losses132 / 2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)134 / 134
History coverage163d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day0.9
Drawdown0%
Kalshi-fit71%
Chart Positions 0 History 134 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days+$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? No 100¢ 100¢ $22 $22 +$0 (+0%)
Will Ethereum dip to $2,200 January 26-1? No 96¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? Yes 31¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? May 20 $22 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11? May 20 $1 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 11? May 20 $1 $0 +5%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11? May 20 $2 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11? May 20 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 11? May 20 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11? May 20 $2 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11? May 20 $12 $0 +1%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29? May 10 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 23? Apr 28 $4 $0 +0%
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 19? Apr 21 $4 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Apr 17 $4 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in March? Apr 09 $1 $0 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in March? Apr 09 $1 $0 +0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 in March? Apr 09 $1 $0 +0%
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? Mar 29 $17 −$17 -99%
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? Mar 29 $2 $0 +1%
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? Mar 29 $2 $0 +4%
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? Mar 29 $2 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? Mar 29 $2 $0 +0%
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? Mar 29 $2 $0 +11%
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? Mar 29 $3 $0 +2%
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch? Mar 29 $4 $0 +0%
Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.4%? Mar 24 $8 +$23 +295%
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Mar 24 $3 +$83 +2400%
Will Backpack launch a token on March 24? Mar 24 $1 $0 +1%
Will Backpack launch a token on March 29? Mar 24 $2 $0 +0%
Will Xinyu Wang win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami O Mar 21 $84 +$8,150 +9700%
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Mi Mar 21 $2 +$100 +4650%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 14? Mar 21 $5 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 14? Mar 21 $6 $0 +0%
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? Mar 14 $51 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +3%
Will Ethereum reach $2,200 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +2%
Will Opinion launch a token on March 28? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Opinion launch a token on March 24? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum reach $2,300 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026? Mar 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.20 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.60 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Opinion launch a token by December 31, 2026? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +0%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1? Mar 13 $1 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 53% +$40,131
sports 27% +$16,837
world 14% +$469
crypto 5% −$1
weather 1% $0
tech 0% $0
politics 0% +$83
economics 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 20? BUY No 100¢ $22 24d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on May 11? BUY No 99¢ $12 34d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on May 11? BUY No 99¢ $2 34d
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on May 11? BUY No 95¢ $1 34d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $2 34d
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on May 11? BUY No 99¢ $1 34d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $2 34d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on May 11? BUY No 100¢ $2 34d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on April 29? BUY No 100¢ $4 46d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on April 23? BUY No 100¢ $4 53d
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 26°C on April 19? BUY No 100¢ $4 57d
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? BUY No 100¢ $4 65d
Over $12M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? BUY Yes 31¢ $17 76d
Backpack FDV above $400M one day after launch? BUY No 100¢ $4 81d
Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.4%? SELL No 100¢ $31 81d
Will Japan’s February 2026 unemployment rate be ≤2.4%? BUY No 25¢ $8 81d
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $86 81d
Will NYC Mayor post 140-159 posts from March 27 to April 3, 2026? BUY Yes 3¢ $3 81d
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? BUY No 96¢ $2 84d
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch? BUY No 100¢ $2 84d
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch? BUY No 98¢ $3 84d
Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch? BUY No 100¢ $2 84d
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? BUY Yes 90¢ $2 84d
Backpack FDV above $100M one day after launch? BUY Yes 99¢ $2 84d
Will Backpack launch a token on March 29? BUY No 100¢ $2 84d
Will Backpack launch a token on March 24? BUY No 99¢ $1 84d
Will Xinyu Wang win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami O SELL Yes 98¢ $8,234 84d
Will Xinyu Wang win the 2026 women's singles tournament at the Miami O BUY Yes 1¢ $84 84d
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Mi SELL Yes 95¢ $103 84d
Will Brandon Nakashima win the 2026 men's singles tournament at the Mi BUY Yes 2¢ $2 84d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +16%
net ROI/market (all)+175.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d 8 +1.1% -8.6% 100% 0% -9.1%
≤90d 31 +200.8% +172.2% 97% 16% +767.7%
all 134 +204.9% +175.9% 99% 16% +1068.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +175.9% 16% +1068.3%
10% +149.5% 15% +956.5%
15% +125.4% 15% +854.5%
20% +103.3% 15% +760.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $22.28 · official $22.28 (match) · 265 history records