Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:16:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f1a…f7fd
other · 13 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$37 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses8 / 5
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)13 / 13
History coverage3d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit38%
Chart Positions 0 History 13 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$63
7 days−$37
14 days−$37
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Over 36¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners Jun 14 $3 +$2 +71%
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $26 +$3 +12%
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 $0 +42%
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 14 $26 +$1 +4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +57%
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -99%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $41 −$40 -98%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $29 −$18 -61%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $50 +$8 +16%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $50 +$22 +43%
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $24 +$4 +14%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 63% +$2
sports 37% −$40
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners SELL Over 99¢ $4 13m
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? SELL Yes 100¢ $29 13m
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 3¢ $1 1h
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 89¢ $26 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 6¢ $27 2h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $26 2h
Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 2¢ $1 7h
Germany vs. Curaçao: Germany O/U 7.5 Corners BUY Over 57¢ $3 7h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 19h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 63¢ $10 19h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 44¢ $10 21h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $10 21h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 36¢ $41 24h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 23¢ $4 47h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 24¢ $11 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 81¢ $58 47h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 69¢ $50 2d
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $25 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $72 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 69¢ $28 2d
Will Mexico win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 59¢ $24 3d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $50 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-26.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -18.6% -26.3% 62% 54% -17.7%
≤30d 13 -18.6% -26.3% 62% 54% -17.7%
≤90d 13 -18.6% -26.3% 62% 54% -17.7%
all 13 -18.6% -26.3% 62% 54% -17.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -26.3% 54% -17.7%
10% -33.4% 31% -25.6%
15% -39.8% 31% -32.8%
20% -45.7% 15% -39.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 23 history records