Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:52:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f19…2fbf
other · 87 markets active 1h ago
4.5score
+$506 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$403 · open +$103
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,079
Realized+$403
Unrealized+$103
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses64 / 22
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Open positions1
Markets (closed)86 / 87
History coverage189d
Avg bet$317
Trades / day1.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit57%
Chart Positions 1 History 86 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$85
7 days+$92
14 days+$92
30 days+$92
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 89¢ 99¢ $976 $1,079 +$103 (+11%)
Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-12-07? No 92¢ 0¢ $143 $0 −$143 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? No 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? No 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Jaguars vs. Broncos Broncos 37¢ 0¢ $96 $0 −$96 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $361 +$21 +6%
Will Future perform "Real Sisters" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $76 +$6 +7%
Will Future perform "712PM" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $82 +$5 +6%
Will Future perform "Same Damn Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $76 +$6 +8%
Will Future perform "Game Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $72 +$3 +4%
Will Future perform "Thought It Was a Drought" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ce Jun 13 $60 +$4 +6%
Will Future perform "Sh!t" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $62 +$5 +8%
Will Future perform "PLUTOSKI" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $53 +$4 +8%
Will Future perform "TOO FAST" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $43 +$4 +10%
Will Future perform "Stick Talk" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $29 +$2 +7%
Will Future perform "Mask Off" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Will Future perform "March Madness" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Will Future perform "LIL DEMON" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $102 +$8 +8%
Will Future perform "Wicked" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $86 +$5 +6%
Will Future perform "PUFFIN ON ZOOTIEZ" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? Jun 13 $132 +$10 +7%
Will Enrique Riquelme win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 07 $233 +$4 +2%
Will Florentino Perez win the 2026 Real Madrid presidential election? Jun 07 $285 +$3 +1%
Will Trump say "Hormuz" during Address to the Nation? Apr 02 $100 +$11 +11%
Rams vs. Bears Mar 28 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28? Mar 28 $8 $0 +1%
Rams vs. Seahawks Mar 18 $356 −$202 -57%
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 18 $129 +$3 +3%
Will Liverpool reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 18 $3 +$1 +39%
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 18 $100 +$28 +28%
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 17 $92 +$5 +5%
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League quarter Mar 17 $93 −$1 -1%
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League quarter-finals? Mar 17 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 4? Mar 04 $129 −$1 -1%
Will Pump.fun be accused of insider trading? Feb 26 $58 +$3 +5%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25? Feb 26 $10 +$9 +89%
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 15+ times during t Feb 24 $190 −$1 -0%
Will Trump say "Hockey" during the 2026 State of the Union address? Feb 24 $60 −$3 -5%
Will Trump say "Kash" or "Patel" during the State of the Union address Feb 23 $101 −$6 -6%
Will Trump say “Biden Crime Family” by February 28? Feb 20 $20 −$15 -75%
Will Trump say "Migrant Crime" in February? Feb 20 $20 −$3 -17%
Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times in Rome, GA on Februa Feb 19 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Trump say "Traitor" in Rome, GA on February 19? Feb 19 $20 −$19 -98%
Will Trump say "Million" or "Billion" or "Trillion" 20+ times in Rome, Feb 19 $10 +$8 +77%
Will Trump say "Fulton County" in Rome, GA on February 19? Feb 19 $25 +$29 +115%
Will Trump say "Fake News" or "CNN" in Rome, GA on February 19? Feb 19 $9 +$1 +14%
Will Trump say "Peace" or "War" 15+ times during Board of Peace events Feb 19 $25 +$8 +33%
Will Trump say "Hell" during Board of Peace events on February 19? Feb 19 $10 +$10 +98%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17? Feb 17 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Kenneth Walker III win the Super Bowl LX MVP? Feb 09 $420 +$103 +24%
Will Lionel Messi attend Super Bowl LX? Feb 09 $210 +$17 +8%
Will "Polymarket" be said at the Super Bowl? Feb 09 $148 +$39 +26%
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award? Feb 06 $16 +$1 +5%
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba win the 2025–26 NFL OPOY? Feb 06 $16 +$1 +5%
Will Carson Schwesinger be the 2025-2026 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Y Feb 06 $15 +$1 +7%
Will Tetairoa McMillan be the 2025-2026 NFL Offensive Rookie of the Ye Feb 06 $14 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 33% +$435
politics 31% +$257
sports 14% +$273
world 12% +$78
tech 7% −$564
economics 2% +$26
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 94¢ $381 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 98¢ $381 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $82 1h
Will Future perform "Real Sisters" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $82 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 93¢ $69 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $100 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $7 1h
Will Future perform "712PM" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $87 1h
Will Future perform "Same Damn Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $82 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 92¢ $30 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 91¢ $100 1h
Will Future perform "Game Time" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL Yes 99¢ $74 1h
Will Future perform "Thought It Was a Drought" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ce SELL No 99¢ $64 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 89¢ $67 1h
Will Future perform "Sh!t" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $67 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 93¢ $58 1h
Will Future perform "PLUTOSKI" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $58 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 93¢ $47 1h
Will Future perform "TOO FAST" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $47 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 93¢ $31 1h
Will Future perform "Stick Talk" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $31 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 93¢ $18 1h
Will Future perform "Mask Off" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $18 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 93¢ $5 1h
Will Future perform "March Madness" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $6 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $110 1h
Will Future perform "LIL DEMON" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $110 1h
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? BUY No 92¢ $91 1h
Will Future perform "Wicked" at 2026 FIFA Opening Ceremony? SELL No 99¢ $91 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 73¢ $141 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +30%
net ROI/market (all)-7.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 17 +7.0% -3.2% 100% 6% -4.8%
≤30d 17 +7.0% -3.2% 100% 6% -4.8%
≤90d 27 -1.9% -11.3% 85% 15% -12.3%
all 86 +1.9% -7.8% 74% 30% -8.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.7 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -7.8% 30% -8.2%
10% -16.6% 20% -16.9%
15% -24.7% 9% -25.0%
20% -32.1% 7% -32.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,078.95 · official $1,078.95 (match) · 334 history records