Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:46:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f18…d6ca
sports · 823 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$1,535 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,508 · open −$27
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$38
Realized−$1,508
Unrealized−$27
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses397 / 423
Est. fees paid−$102
Open positions3
Markets (closed)820 / 823
History coverage49d
Avg bet$13
Trades / day22.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 3 History 820 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$293
7 days−$652
14 days−$507
30 days−$646
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Morocco 69¢ 92¢ $20 $27 +$7 (+33%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 56¢ 42¢ $15 $11 −$4 (-26%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 83¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Over 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Yes 32¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 62¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Under 57¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $30 +$7 +23%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P Jun 13 $20 +$18 +88%
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$25 +250%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 +$14 +70%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +52%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $10 +$7 +68%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Cambodia vs. Hong Kong SAR end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? Jun 12 $24 −$24 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $222 −$222 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $20 +$6 +29%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $20 −$20 -99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $30 +$13 +44%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $30 +$3 +11%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $20 +$14 +67%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $20 +$9 +46%
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $30 +$5 +17%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 Jun 11 $20 +$13 +65%
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-09? Jun 10 $25 +$5 +18%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $10 +$5 +46%
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $10 +$4 +36%
Argentina vs. Iceland: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $10 +$6 +57%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 228.5 Jun 09 $27 +$7 +24%
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Gran Jun 07 $5 +$3 +54%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 07 $10 +$7 +73%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 215.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 202.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 206.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 111.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Coleman Wong vs. Filippo Romano: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Set 1 Winner: Wong vs Romano Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 209.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Jun 07 $10 −$10 -100%
1H Spread: Spurs (-3.5) Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 212.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 07 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 88% −$1,307
other 8% −$88
crypto 4% −$128
culture 0% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $15 1h
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) BUY Morocco 69¢ $20 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 56¢ $10 3h
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 62¢ $15 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 81¢ $30 3h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 83¢ $30 3h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P SELL Yes 99¢ $38 7h
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY Yes 52¢ $20 8h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 14¢ $2 8h
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Canada O/U 1.5 BUY Under 59¢ $10 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 65¢ $10 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 58¢ $20 27h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $10 27h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $10 27h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 BUY Under 77¢ $20 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 57¢ $20 44h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 44h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 32¢ $10 44h
Mexico leading at halftime? BUY Yes 90¢ $30 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: 1st Half O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $30 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 68¢ $20 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 59¢ $20 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $10 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $20 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Spurs 78¢ $222 2d
Karl-Anthony Towns: Rebounds O/U 11.5 BUY Yes 49¢ $10 2d
Karl-Anthony Towns: Points O/U 17.5 BUY Yes 49¢ $10 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 117.5 BUY Under 75¢ $20 2d
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 220.5 BUY Under 60¢ $20 2d
Argentina vs. Iceland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 73¢ $10 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 60 -47.7% -52.7% 33% 33% -58.8%
≤30d 330 -21.2% -28.7% 48% 48% -20.9%
≤90d 820 -13.4% -21.7% 48% 48% -22.1%
all 820 -13.4% -21.7% 48% 48% -22.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover22.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.7% 48% -22.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.2% 43% -29.6%
15% -36.0% 37% -36.4%
20% -42.3% 30% -42.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $37.66 · official $37.66 (match) · 1854 history records