Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:58:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f09…6c6c
crypto · 371 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$128 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$127 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$7
Realized+$127
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses161 / 209
Open positions1
Markets (closed)370 / 371
History coverage1d
Avg bet$42
Trades / day2424.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 370 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$127
7 days+$127
14 days+$127
30 days+$127
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 50¢ 60¢ $4 $5 +$1 (+21%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Up 29¢ 40¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+36%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $17 +$13 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$54 +36%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$8 -43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $63 −$10 -16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$16 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 −$12 -29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$10 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$14 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $59 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$7 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $39 −$9 -24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$8 -58%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $47 −$3 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$23 +199%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $60 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$23 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$9 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $29 −$14 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $48 +$2 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $36 +$9 +26%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$2 +21%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +35%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 +$16 +117%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$7 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $123 +$34 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$15 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$13 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 +$10 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $72 +$18 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$12 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$7 +30%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $112 −$1 -0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$8 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$9 -65%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $50 −$20 -39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$10 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 +$3 +10%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$128
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $4 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $1 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $0 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $3 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 7m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $11 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $8 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $7 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $4 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $15 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $2 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $9 9m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $3 9m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-23.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 370 -15.0% -23.1% 44% 35% -8.8%
≤30d 370 -15.0% -23.1% 44% 35% -8.8%
≤90d 370 -15.0% -23.1% 44% 35% -8.8%
all 370 -15.0% -23.1% 44% 35% -8.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2424.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.1% 35% -8.8%
10% ← realistic here -30.4% 24% -17.5%
15% -37.1% 15% -25.5%
20% -43.3% 9% -32.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $6.69 · official $6.86 (match) · 3500 history records