trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +70.1% | +53.9% | 78% | 78% | +40.7% |
| ≤30d | 21 | +9.4% | -1.1% | 48% | 48% | -15.1% |
| ≤90d | 21 | +9.4% | -1.1% | 48% | 48% | -15.1% |
| all | 46 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 50% | 48% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.9% | 48% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 43% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -26.4% | 39% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 28% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 18¢ | 20¢ | $100 | $107 | +$7 (+7%) |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-22? | Yes | 43¢ | 42¢ | $50 | $49 | −$1 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $81 | +$64 | +79% |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $17 | −$17 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? AND Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? AND | Jun 19 | $26 | +$102 | +398% |
| Will Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $31 | −$2 | -5% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | +$36 | +70% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $108 | +$12 | +12% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 17 | $101 | +$40 | +40% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $146 | +$66 | +45% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $25 | +$24 | +93% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 14 | $152 | −$150 | -99% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AN | Jun 12 | $26 | −$7 | -27% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $25 | −$25 | -98% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $72 | +$80 | +112% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $81 | +$21 | +26% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 08 | $178 | −$119 | -67% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 04 | $151 | −$78 | -52% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 03 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 03 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 03 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | -1% |
| Will San Antonio Spurs advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 31 | $101 | +$75 | +74% |
| Clippers vs. Kings | Feb 10 | $20 | +$11 | +56% |
| Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026? | Feb 10 | $27 | +$13 | +48% |
| Rockets vs. Hawks | Feb 10 | $30 | +$19 | +64% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9? | Feb 06 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? | Jan 30 | $20 | −$16 | -82% |
| Clippers vs. Jazz | Jan 28 | $90 | +$40 | +45% |
| Nets vs. Clippers | Jan 26 | $90 | +$27 | +30% |
| Clippers vs. Wizards | Jan 20 | $40 | +$15 | +37% |
| Wizards vs. Clippers | Jan 15 | $63 | +$12 | +19% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | Jan 14 | $60 | +$4 | +6% |
| Clippers vs. Nets | Jan 10 | $38 | +$22 | +56% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | May 18 | $30 | −$8 | -26% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | May 04 | $49 | −$25 | -51% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | May 02 | $30 | −$26 | -87% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Apr 28 | $54 | −$54 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Apr 26 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Clippers | Apr 25 | $100 | +$54 | +54% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Apr 22 | $52 | +$48 | +92% |
| Will Real Madrid win on 2025-04-16? | Apr 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Nuggets | Apr 22 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Magic | Apr 22 | $40 | −$40 | -100% |
| Clippers vs. Timberwolves | Apr 07 | $9 | −$9 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Warriors | Apr 07 | $20 | +$34 | +170% |
| Kings vs. Cavaliers | Apr 06 | $30 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $62 | +$38 | +61% |