Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6F 0x6f04…b812 crypto 79 markets active 7d ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$52 (-7%) realized −$52 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -15% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR43%break-even
Win rate48%38W / 41L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$9per market
Trades / day8.6pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$46
14 days−$91
30 days−$91
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$84
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -13.6% -21.8% 56% 47% -18.1%
≤30d 77 -16.8% -24.8% 48% 43% -21.6%
≤90d 79 -14.9% -23.0% 48% 43% -20.5%
all 79 -14.9% -23.0% 48% 43% -20.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover8.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 43% -20.5%
10% -30.4% 30% -28.1%
15% -37.1% 19% -35.0%
20% -43.3% 15% -41.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -13% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
11% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -15% · $-wt -13% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -13% → late -16% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$5 · ×0.65 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.6 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$52
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses38 / 41
Open positions0
Markets (closed)79 / 79
History coverage24d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day8.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 79 Trades
no open positions (23 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 10 $7 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 −$2 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 10 $56 −$29 -51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 10 $38 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$4 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 10 $9 −$9 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 10 $17 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$2 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $11 −$6 -56%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 10 $15 +$3 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $20 +$6 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 10 $15 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 10 $37 +$4 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$6 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$8 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $4 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -88%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$7 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$4 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 10 $7 +$4 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $9 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 10 $16 +$10 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 10 $14 +$3 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$5 +152%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$7 +231%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$18 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 10 $10 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$3 -82%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 −$1 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 07 $6 −$2 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 07 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 07 $8 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 07 $2 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 07 $8 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 07 $4 −$1 -21%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 39¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Up 36¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Up 53¢ $20 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $26 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $28 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $25 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 26¢ $2 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET SELL Up 45¢ $19 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $15 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 36¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Up 33¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET SELL Down 54¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $9 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $4 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET SELL Down 29¢ $13 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 21¢ $11 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 23¢ $5 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 207 history records