Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:49:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6F
0x6f01…aea7
crypto · 263 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$8 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)70%
Wins / losses183 / 80
Open positions0
Markets (closed)263 / 263
History coverage20d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day24.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 96¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +266%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET May 29 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET May 29 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET May 29 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET May 29 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET May 29 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET May 29 $3 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET May 29 $2 +$1 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET May 29 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET May 29 $1 $0 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% −$3
other 4% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 36m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 81¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $1 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 79¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET SELL Down 71¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-7.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 -8.5% -17.2% 61% 50% -14.1%
≤30d 263 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 46% -10.6%
≤90d 263 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 46% -10.6%
all 263 +2.0% -7.7% 70% 46% -10.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.7% 46% -10.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.5% 31% -19.2%
15% -24.6% 21% -27.0%
20% -32.0% 17% -34.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 690 history records