Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6efa…a0a7
sports · 64 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$247 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$235 · open +$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$282
Realized−$235
Unrealized+$12
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses26 / 28
Est. fees paid−$33
Open positions10
Markets (closed)54 / 64
History coverage11d
Avg bet$38
Trades / day17.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 10 History 54 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$200
14 days−$235
30 days−$235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner Virtus.pro 56¢ 100¢ $39 $70 +$31 (+78%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner PARIVISION 45¢ 100¢ $30 $65 +$35 (+120%)
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B XI Esport 68¢ 68¢ $47 $48 +$1 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner FUT Esports 57¢ 88¢ $23 $35 +$13 (+56%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 61¢ 62¢ $30 $31 +$0 (+1%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 58¢ 38¢ $41 $26 −$14 (-36%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 32¢ 46¢ $5 $7 +$2 (+44%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI T1 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 46¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Playoffs UNiTY esports 65¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Abyssal 50¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Lavked (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 35¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 50¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner RUSTEC 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Ursa 56¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime - Map 1 Winner Ground Zero 60¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner KOLESIE 45¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) illwill 49¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) UNiTY esports 56¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs NEW VISION 53¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) KOLESIE 48¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner illwill 71¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $8 +$7 +79%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs INOX Division (+1.5) Jun 12 $47 +$3 +7%
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $12 +$18 +152%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$15 +73%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $42 +$38 +88%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $8 +$7 +86%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $29 +$11 +36%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $27 +$23 +86%
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 12 $10 +$10 +98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $10 +$15 +153%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $43 +$22 +52%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Jun 11 $40 +$17 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $11 −$11 -99%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $116 +$174 +150%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $56 +$14 +24%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $29 +$21 +73%
Map Handicap: KOL (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) Jun 11 $24 −$24 -98%
Counter-Strike: Bebop vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gr Jun 11 $14 −$14 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $35 −$35 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs RUSTEC - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $37 −$36 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $41 −$40 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $141 −$139 -99%
Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs ex-MANA eSports (BO3) - United21 Play Jun 11 $13 −$13 -100%
Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs ex-MANA eSports (+1.5) Jun 11 $14 −$14 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $17 −$17 -98%
Game Handicap: LOS (-1.5) vs paiN Gaming (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $46 +$41 +87%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $17 −$16 -99%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $3 −$3 -98%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $34 −$34 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group S Jun 10 $73 −$63 -86%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $6 −$6 -99%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino (BO3) - Asia Masters Group C Jun 10 $79 +$21 +27%
Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs XI Esport (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe P Jun 10 $16 −$16 -99%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs G2 Ares - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $46 −$30 -65%
Map Handicap: ILWL (-1.5) vs G2 Ares (+1.5) Jun 10 $20 −$20 -99%
Counter-Strike: Falcons Force vs OLDBOYS- (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Jun 10 $20 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $9 +$11 +131%
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs RUSTEC - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $38 +$7 +18%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Jun 10 $31 +$19 +60%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Atreides - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $60 +$40 +68%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 10 $98 +$62 +63%
Counter-Strike: Ground Zero vs Masked Regime (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series Jun 10 $179 +$41 +23%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group Jun 10 $83 −$82 -98%
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs INOX Division - Map 2 Winner Jun 10 $16 −$10 -67%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Leo Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $35 −$35 -98%
LoL: Saigon Warriors vs Saigon Dino - Game 1 Winner Jun 10 $98 +$10 +10%
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs HEROIC Academy - Map 1 Winner Jun 10 $51 −$51 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$222
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL PARIVISION 25¢ $15 15m
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 67¢ $7 42m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $6 47m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 56¢ $14 48m
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner SELL PARIVISION 41¢ $20 49m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $11 50m
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 31¢ $2 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 53¢ $16 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 2 Winner BUY FUT Esports 57¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 32¢ $3 1h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner BUY PARIVISION 44¢ $9 1h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 56¢ $28 1h
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 Winner BUY Virtus.pro 57¢ $12 1h
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 48¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $9 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner BUY PARIVISION 42¢ $21 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 59¢ $15 2h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 68¢ $3 2h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 68¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY PARIVISION 58¢ $62 2h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FURIA 55¢ $8 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 67¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 68¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: XI Esport vs MASQ (BO1) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group B BUY XI Esport 68¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner BUY Abyssal 50¢ $9 3h
Counter-Strike: MARKandLARRY vs Abyssal - Map 2 Winner BUY Abyssal 50¢ $1 3h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 65¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 60¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 45¢ $9 4h
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares - Map 2 Winner BUY ex-RUBY 47¢ $14 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)-25.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -16.2% -24.2% 49% 43% -18.3%
≤30d 54 -17.7% -25.6% 48% 43% -19.7%
≤90d 54 -17.7% -25.6% 48% 43% -19.7%
all 54 -17.7% -25.6% 48% 43% -19.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.7 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -25.6% 43% -19.7%
10% -32.7% 41% -27.4%
15% -39.2% 35% -34.4%
20% -45.2% 31% -40.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $282.16 · official $282.16 (match) · 216 history records