trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +1.4% | -8.3% | 100% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.6% | -8.9% | 50% | 0% | -8.9% |
| ≤90d | 20 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 75% | 15% | -9.5% |
| all | 20 | +2.7% | -7.1% | 75% | 15% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -7.1% | 15% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -16.0% | 5% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -24.1% | 5% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -31.6% | 5% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? | No | 98¢ | 98¢ | $50 | $50 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June | Jun 20 | $26 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by June 30? | Jun 05 | $26 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI? | May 21 | $2 | $0 | +9% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | May 21 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | May 20 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | May 17 | $24 | $0 | -2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | May 15 | $24 | $0 | +1% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April | May 13 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | May 13 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | May 13 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Thunder vs. Suns | Apr 27 | $4 | −$4 | -98% |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on Ma | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | Apr 27 | $4 | $0 | +3% |
| Suns vs. Grizzlies | Apr 27 | $5 | +$1 | +15% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on January 31? | Mar 30 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Counter-Strike: paiN vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - IEM Krakow Play-In | Mar 30 | $2 | $0 | +20% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Feb | Mar 30 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | Mar 30 | $3 | $0 | +5% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 30? | Mar 30 | $2 | +$2 | +79% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Mar 30 | $5 | $0 | +6% |