Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:12:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6eec…c524
other · 104 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$582 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$606 · open −$24
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,628
Realized+$606
Unrealized−$24
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses34 / 40
Est. fees paid−$56
Open positions30
Markets (closed)74 / 104
History coverage41d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day10.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit20%
Chart Positions 30 History 74 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days−$2
14 days−$78
30 days−$313
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 60¢ 62¢ $254 $260 +$6 (+2%)
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 58¢ 58¢ $167 $167 +$0 (+0%)
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 67¢ 66¢ $134 $131 −$3 (-2%)
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 64¢ 66¢ $112 $116 +$4 (+4%)
Will Senegal reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 70¢ 69¢ $105 $104 −$1 (-1%)
Will Ivory Coast reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 63¢ 64¢ $96 $97 +$1 (+1%)
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 40¢ 38¢ $88 $83 −$5 (-5%)
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 62¢ 68¢ $73 $79 +$6 (+9%)
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 96¢ 95¢ $72 $72 −$0 (-0%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 97¢ 97¢ $68 $68 +$0 (+0%)
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 57¢ 55¢ $57 $55 −$2 (-3%)
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 89¢ 88¢ $44 $44 −$0 (-1%)
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 85¢ 88¢ $43 $44 +$2 (+4%)
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 41¢ 40¢ $41 $40 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 20¢ 20¢ $40 $39 −$1 (-2%)
Will Egypt reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 69¢ 68¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 8¢ 6¢ $30 $24 −$6 (-19%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 94¢ 95¢ $24 $24 +$0 (+1%)
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 92¢ 90¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-2%)
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 6¢ 8¢ $13 $15 +$2 (+18%)
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 59¢ 60¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 10¢ 12¢ $12 $14 +$2 (+15%)
Will Ecuador reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 55¢ 57¢ $14 $14 +$1 (+5%)
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 34¢ 34¢ $13 $12 −$0 (-2%)
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 21¢ 23¢ $10 $12 +$1 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Lando Norris win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $2 −$1 -97%
Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 06 $1 −$1 -97%
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner? May 31 $19 +$16 +85%
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League? May 30 $93 −$91 -98%
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 25 $86 −$64 -75%
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $77 −$76 -99%
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Pr May 23 $15 −$15 -99%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Punjab Kings May 23 $924 −$900 -97%
Will Lewis Hamilton win the Sprint at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix? May 23 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Chennai Super Kings win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 21 $182 +$11 +6%
Will Denmark win the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 17 $16 +$9 +54%
Will France win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $24 +$1 +4%
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $5 $0 +3%
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $17 +$13 +76%
Will Ukraine win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $25 $0 +1%
Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $32 +$4 +12%
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $5 $0 +1%
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $18 +$2 +11%
Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $31 −$6 -19%
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026? May 17 $74 +$11 +15%
Will Israel win the televote for Eurovision 2026? May 17 $5 +$5 +95%
Will Sweden be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $17 +$9 +54%
Will Serbia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $23 +$5 +24%
Will Cyprus be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $6 +$2 +33%
Will Albania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $3 +$2 +58%
Will Croatia be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $9 +$1 +14%
Will Denmark be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $8 +$17 +195%
Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $3 +$7 +193%
Will Ukraine be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $8 +$2 +30%
Will Moldova be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $12 +$3 +24%
Will Denmark be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $9 +$6 +75%
Will Australia be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $7 +$3 +33%
Will Finland be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $4 +$11 +319%
Will Croatia be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $26 +$19 +73%
Will France be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 17 $14 +$30 +208%
Will France be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final? May 17 $8 +$2 +22%
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Gujarat Titans May 16 $809 +$196 +24%
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Chennai Super Kings May 15 $929 +$647 +70%
Will Collin Morikawa win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will David Puig win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Bud Cauley win the 2026 PGA Championship? May 15 $1 −$1 -97%
Will Rajasthan Royals win the 2026 Indian Premier League? May 15 $47 −$46 -97%
Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 14 $48 +$16 +34%
Will Armenia advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 14 $8 −$1 -6%
Will Romania advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 14 $36 +$1 +3%
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? May 14 $30 +$1 +3%
Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? May 14 $24 −$23 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 56% +$247
other 41% +$365
world 1% −$5
culture 1% −$25
crypto 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $10 23m
Will Belgium reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 33¢ $6 23m
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 67¢ $17 24m
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $10 54m
Will Türkiye win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 67¢ $17 54m
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $10 1h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 55¢ $14 1h
Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 41¢ $10 1h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $10 1h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $10 2h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 85¢ $14 3h
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pri BUY No 86¢ $17 3h
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 96¢ $24 3h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 9¢ $2 3h
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 61¢ $15 3h
Will South Korea reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 54¢ $14 3h
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 8¢ $2 3h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $3 3h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $2 3h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $4 3h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 9¢ $2 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand P BUY No 62¢ $11 3h
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY Yes 6¢ $2 3h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 61¢ $15 3h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 40¢ $0 3h
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Pr BUY Yes 8¢ $0 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-31.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 62 -15.3% -23.4% 52% 40% -16.9%
≤90d 74 -23.8% -31.1% 46% 36% +1.0%
all 74 -23.8% -31.1% 46% 36% +1.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -31.1% 36% +1.0%
10% -37.7% 31% -8.7%
15% -43.7% 20% -17.5%
20% -49.2% 20% -25.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,628.28 · official $1,629.31 (match) · 467 history records