Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T03:53:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ee4…7a93 crypto 670 markets active 1h ago coverage 89d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$638 (-4%) realized −$671 · open +$33
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -19% what you keep after slip
Net edge-19%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate57%383W / 285L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$22per market
Trades / day11.8pace
Fees−$82est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$81now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$115
7 days+$22
14 days−$117
30 days−$76
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 51% −$661
sports 48% −$166
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 +12.2% +1.6% 50% 50% -6.6%
≤30d 63 -3.6% -12.8% 48% 44% -12.9%
≤90d 668 -3.5% -12.7% 57% 48% -14.9%
all 668 -3.5% -12.7% 57% 48% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover11.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -12.7% 48% -14.9%
10% -21.0% 42% -23.0%
15% -28.7% 37% -30.5%
20% -35.7% 32% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -6% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
16% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -3% · $-wt -6% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$10 vs −$17 · ×0.61 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.82 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

89d coverage
Net worth$81
Realized−$671
Unrealized+$33
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses383 / 285
Est. fees paid−$82
Open positions2
Markets (closed)668 / 670
History coverage89d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day11.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 2 History 668 Trades
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? Yes 6¢ 14¢ $25 $58 +$33 (+133%)
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs EDward Gaming 57¢ 56¢ $23 $23 −$0 (-1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%). Plus 79 resolved losing bets — already counted in realized PnL, so not shown here.
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff Jun 14 $25 −$25 -99%
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $10 +$31 +303%
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 14 $26 −$25 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $25 +$44 +172%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $46 +$51 +112%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $22 +$16 +73%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $20 +$22 +109%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla Jun 12 $59 +$27 +46%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $29 +$29 +99%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $22 −$22 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $68 +$21 +31%
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 10 $29 −$29 -99%
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 10 $37 −$37 -99%
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo Jun 09 $58 +$21 +36%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $26 +$18 +68%
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se Jun 09 $9 +$8 +93%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $10 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Rooster (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #5 Group Jun 09 $9 −$1 -7%
Counter-Strike: MANA eSports vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - European Pro Lea Jun 09 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 09 $50 −$29 -59%
Valorant: NRG vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Sta Jun 08 $49 −$48 -99%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou Jun 08 $84 −$40 -48%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $61 +$23 +38%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $61 +$4 +7%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $4 −$4 -98%
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Lo Jun 07 $27 +$5 +18%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG - Map 2 Winner Jun 06 $10 −$10 -100%
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage Jun 06 $7 −$7 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 06 $61 +$15 +25%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $28 −$28 -99%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $28 −$28 -99%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $28 −$28 -99%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 01 $40 −$39 -97%
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europ Jun 01 $30 −$30 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 01 $13 −$13 -98%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs May 31 $7 −$4 -53%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 31 $22 +$25 +112%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $27 +$35 +126%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $107 −$107 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 30 $29 +$31 +105%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 30 $21 −$20 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs May 29 $61 +$17 +28%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 29 $40 +$21 +51%
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 27 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea May 26 $16 −$16 -97%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO5) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoff May 25 $30 +$10 +32%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 25 $80 +$35 +44%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $35 −$18 -51%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In May 24 $29 +$48 +165%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs EDward Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playo BUY EDward Gaming 57¢ $23 1h
Valorant: G2 Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoff BUY G2 Esports 64¢ $25 16h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 99¢ $41 16h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 32¢ $26 20h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 24¢ $10 20h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $25 35h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play SELL EDward Gaming 99¢ $97 35h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $39 37h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 57¢ $22 40h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $43 47h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $20 2d
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 46¢ $46 2d
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla SELL Paper Rex 99¢ $86 2d
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pla BUY Paper Rex 67¢ $59 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 99¢ $59 2d
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 49¢ $29 2d
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $22 3d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 55¢ $29 4d
Valorant: Global Esports vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters London Grou BUY Global Esports 75¢ $29 4d
Valorant: FUT Esports vs NRG (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage BUY NRG 67¢ $37 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks SELL Knicks 53¢ $37 4d
Spurs vs. Knicks BUY Knicks 54¢ $39 5d
Will EDward Gaming win Valorant Masters London 2026? BUY Yes 6¢ $26 5d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY XLG Gaming 68¢ $44 5d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo SELL Dragon Ranger Gaming 32¢ $14 5d
Valorant: Dragon Ranger Gaming vs XLG Gaming (BO3) - VCT Masters Londo BUY Dragon Ranger Gaming 29¢ $13 5d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St SELL ex-RUBY 99¢ $44 5d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St BUY ex-RUBY 58¢ $26 5d
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se SELL ex-RUBY 100¢ $17 5d
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Se BUY ex-RUBY 51¢ $9 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $80.73 · official $80.74 (match) · 1396 history records