Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:47:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6edb…4200
crypto · 152 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$43 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$44 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$36
Realized+$44
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)43%
Wins / losses62 / 83
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions7
Markets (closed)145 / 152
History coverage119d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day3.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 7 History 145 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$6
14 days−$6
30 days−$6
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $31 $31 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-7%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-13%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-14%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? Yes 7¢ 5¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-20%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-21%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? Yes 5¢ 3¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-31%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -93%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -97%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $4 −$4 -94%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $6 −$4 -71%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $1 $0 -32%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 2 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -84%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 0 - 2 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 South Africa? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 South Africa? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Jun 12 $2 +$13 +596%
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? Jun 12 $1 +$8 +529%
Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 0 South Africa? Jun 12 $3 +$12 +442%
Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 South Africa? Jun 11 $1 $0 -24%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 1 - 2 Real Madrid CF? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 Real Madrid CF? Apr 20 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? Apr 20 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Apr 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 1 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Apr 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 1 - 0 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Apr 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 2 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Apr 15 $3 −$3 -100%
Exact Score: Liverpool FC 2 - 3 Paris Saint-Germain FC? Apr 15 $2 −$2 -100%
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5) Apr 15 $16 +$61 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Apr 14 $10 −$8 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Apr 14 $7 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Apr 14 $16 −$2 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Apr 14 $5 −$3 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Apr 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Union Berlin end in a draw? Apr 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Apr 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Apr 14 $10 −$6 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Apr 14 $10 −$7 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Apr 14 $13 −$8 -63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Apr 14 $17 −$10 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Apr 14 $6 −$3 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Apr 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Apr 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$7
other 8% −$19
sports 2% +$56
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 2 Morocco? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $6 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 7¢ $2 1h
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $25 1h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 8h
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 12¢ $2 9h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? SELL Yes 1¢ $0 9h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 22¢ $4 9h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? SELL Yes 5¢ $1 9h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? SELL Yes 10¢ $1 10h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 10h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 20h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 13¢ $2 20h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 15¢ $2 20h
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Paraguay? BUY Yes 18¢ $4 20h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 13¢ $1 20h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 14¢ $2 20h
Exact Score: Canada 1 - 0 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 16¢ $3 20h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 31h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 59¢ $9 31h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 3 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 0¢ $0 31h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 1 Czechia? SELL Yes 16¢ $0 33h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 2 - 2 Czechia? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 33h
Exact Score: Korea Republic 1 - 3 Czechia? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-13.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 22 -7.1% -15.9% 14% 14% -19.9%
≤30d 22 -7.1% -15.9% 14% 14% -19.9%
≤90d 55 -47.6% -52.5% 7% 7% -47.1%
all 145 -3.8% -13.0% 43% 39% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.0% 39% -6.5%
10% -21.3% 32% -15.4%
15% -28.9% 26% -23.6%
20% -35.9% 14% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $36.18 · official $36.18 (match) · 483 history records