Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:06:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6eda…7358
politics · 123 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$34 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$35 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$35
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)6%
Wins / losses7 / 116
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)123 / 123
History coverage107d
Avg bet$47
Trades / day2.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 0 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days−$0
14 days−$0
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Clippers vs. Mavericks Mavericks 29¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Trail Blazers vs. Clippers Clippers 65¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Thunder vs. 76ers 76ers 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Hornets Mavericks 15¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Nuggets Mavericks 16¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Wizards vs. Celtics Wizards 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Nets vs. Heat Nets 16¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec Jun 14 $7 $0 -0%
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 12 $7 $0 -0%
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? Jun 08 $4 $0 -0%
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $7 $0 -0%
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 08 $40 $0 -0%
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Jun 06 $37 $0 -0%
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 30 $6 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 29 $31 $0 -0%
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 25 $67 $0 -0%
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 23 $40 $0 -0%
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 22 $98 $0 -0%
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 20 $73 $0 -0%
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 19 $62 $0 -0%
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 19 $34 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 19 $5 $0 -0%
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 18 $116 $0 -0%
Will Marine Tondelier win the 2027 French presidential election? May 18 $38 $0 -0%
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 17 $39 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago White Sox win the 2026 World Series? May 17 $34 $0 -0%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 15 $30 $0 -0%
Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 13 $41 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in May? May 13 $38 $0 -0%
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 12 $30 $0 -0%
Will Germán Vargas Lleras win the 2026 Colombian presidential election May 11 $33 $0 -0%
Will Mark Cuban win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 11 $30 $0 -0%
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? May 11 $32 $0 -0%
Will Panama win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 10 $74 $0 -0%
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026? May 10 $29 $0 -0%
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 09 $33 $0 -0%
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? May 07 $77 $0 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 06 $30 $0 -0%
Will Solana dip to $60 in April? May 06 $8 $0 +0%
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 05 $63 $0 -0%
Will Pete Hegseth win the 2028 US Presidential Election? May 04 $27 $0 -0%
Will Fabien Roussel win the 2027 French presidential election? May 03 $70 $0 -0%
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? May 03 $27 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 02 $31 $0 -0%
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? May 02 $28 $0 -0%
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026? May 02 $28 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 01 $68 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Leite win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? May 01 $33 $0 -0%
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Apr 30 $33 $0 -0%
Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Apr 27 $83 $0 -0%
Will Eleni Kounalakis win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 27 $34 $0 -0%
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $31 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Apr 26 $30 $0 -0%
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026? Apr 26 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Washington Nationals win the 2026 World Series? Apr 26 $73 $0 -0%
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Apr 26 $34 $0 -0%
Will Stephen Cloobeck win the California Governor Election in 2026? Apr 24 $33 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 42% −$3
politics 39% −$3
sports 12% −$29
tech 3% $0
crypto 2% $0
economics 2% $0
world 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec SELL No 100¢ $7 1h
Will Rodina gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary elec BUY No 100¢ $7 3h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $7 44h
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 2d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $4 5d
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $4 5d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $7 5d
Will Kyle Langford win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $7 6d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $5 6d
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $5 7d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $6 7d
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $6 14d
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $6 14d
Will Leo Zacky win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $6 14d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? SELL No 99¢ $31 15d
Will Stephen Smith win the 2028 US Presidential Election? BUY No 99¢ $31 19d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $29 20d
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $29 21d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $40 21d
Will Jared Polis win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $40 22d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $30 22d
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $30 24d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $35 24d
Will Carlos Sainz Jr. be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $35 24d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $29 25d
Will Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $29 25d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? SELL No 99¢ $34 25d
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? BUY No 99¢ $34 25d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 99¢ $5 25d
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $5 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-14.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 5 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 20 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 117 -2.6% -11.9% 5% 3% -9.9%
all 123 -4.9% -14.0% 6% 2% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -14.0% 2% -10.1%
10% -22.2% 2% -18.7%
15% -29.7% 1% -26.5%
20% -36.6% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 353 history records