Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:26:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ec5…465a
crypto · 589 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,182 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$4,467 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$4,467
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses273 / 315
Whale WR (big bets)51%
Est. fees paid−$35
Open positions0
Markets (closed)588 / 589
History coverage38d
Avg bet$181
Trades / day77.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 588 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$138
7 days−$939
14 days−$4,728
30 days−$4,083
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Dota 2: Ilbirs eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - European Pro League Group B Spirit Academy 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Call of Duty: Vancouver Surge vs Boston Breach (BO5) - Call of Duty League Stage 4 Major Qualifiers Qualifier Vancouver Surge 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $154 −$45 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 14 $81 −$21 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $111 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $86 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $138 +$27 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $101 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $160 −$42 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $186 −$18 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $99 −$39 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $239 −$51 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $135 +$28 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $56 −$22 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$23 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 14 $98 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 14 $52 −$21 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $51 −$23 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $41 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $165 −$7 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$8 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$8 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 14 $34 −$11 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $40 −$8 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$1 -2%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $344 +$193 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $15 −$4 -25%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 13 $50 +$5 +10%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $5 −$1 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$24 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 13 $44 −$17 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $87 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 13 $59 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 13 $53 −$11 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 13 $72 −$9 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$10 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 13 $37 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$6 -39%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$6 -52%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$22 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $56 −$56 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $185 −$8 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$36 -24%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% −$4,123
sports 2% −$641
other 1% +$316
politics 0% −$19
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET SELL Down 1¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $26 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $29 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $26 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 49¢ $28 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $26 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $31 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $25 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $26 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $8 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 55¢ $20 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $4 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $46 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $5 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $26 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $4 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $3 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $25 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $0 19m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-20.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 -13.0% -21.3% 34% 18% -13.9%
≤30d 553 -11.1% -19.6% 48% 33% -12.9%
≤90d 588 -11.8% -20.2% 46% 32% -13.1%
all 588 -11.8% -20.2% 46% 32% -13.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover77.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -20.2% 32% -13.1%
10% ← realistic here -27.9% 18% -21.4%
15% -34.8% 11% -29.0%
20% -41.2% 6% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $60.00 · 3500 history records