Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:58:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ebb…8220
sports · 236 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,030 -25%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,089 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$23
Realized−$1,089
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)27%
Wins / losses64 / 169
Est. fees paid−$49
Open positions3
Markets (closed)233 / 236
History coverage163d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day6.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 3 History 233 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$52
7 days+$52
14 days+$52
30 days+$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner Gen.G 33¢ 43¢ $10 $13 +$3 (+30%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 4¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-7%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner T1 35¢ 57¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+62%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Weibo Gaming 9¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 7¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? Yes 23¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Top Esports 5¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Ninjas in Pyjamas 9¢ 0¢ $75 $0 −$75 (-100%)
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner Weibo Gaming 14¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Türkiye 8¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner T1 16¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Yes 16¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Kiwoom DRX 0¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 T1 19¢ 0¢ $34 $0 −$34 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Kiwoom DRX 1¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner Jun 14 $41 +$35 +87%
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $10 +$67 +650%
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -97%
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? May 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? May 30 $21 −$20 -97%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 10 $15 −$15 -97%
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 10 $36 −$35 -97%
Will T1 win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? May 10 $1 −$1 -48%
Will Hanwha Life Esports win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? May 10 $1 $0 -11%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? May 06 $51 −$50 -98%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 03 $77 −$75 -98%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 01 $36 −$25 -70%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 01 $36 −$35 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 01 $35 −$34 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 01 $30 −$5 -16%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 01 $36 −$24 -68%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 01 $31 −$17 -54%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner May 01 $21 −$21 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 01 $36 −$15 -42%
LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend May 01 $15 −$15 -98%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $25 −$25 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 29 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $10 +$16 +157%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 29 $20 −$4 -22%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $10 −$1 -8%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $15 −$7 -44%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $17 −$17 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $15 −$15 -100%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $10 −$10 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $30 −$13 -45%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner Apr 26 $55 −$29 -52%
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 26 $25 +$28 +114%
Will KT Rolster win the LCK 2026 season playoffs? Apr 12 $1 +$1 +85%
LoL: Oh My God vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana Apr 12 $10 +$10 +101%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $10 +$4 +39%
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs DetonatioN FocusMe (BO3) - LCP Regular Seas Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner Apr 12 $10 +$5 +53%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Apr 12 $5 −$5 -100%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner Apr 12 $27 +$13 +46%
LoL: Team WE vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Apr 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 96% −$966
other 3% −$121
crypto 0% $0
world 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY Gen.G 33¢ $10 3m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner SELL T1 66¢ $36 4m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 35¢ $5 10m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 31¢ $5 19m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 38¢ $10 24m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 99¢ $33 45m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 30¢ $10 50m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL T1 56¢ $36 56m
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 27¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 64¢ $7 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 48¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 54¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 47¢ $5 1h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 36¢ $10 1h
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 1h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Türkiye 8¢ $10 5h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 15h
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 16¢ $10 17h
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? BUY Yes 13¢ $10 17h
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 17h
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 17¢ $20 17h
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 1 - 2 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 23¢ $10 14d
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 0 - 3 Arsenal FC? BUY Yes 2¢ $21 14d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Kiwoom DRX 0¢ $5 34d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 BUY Kiwoom DRX 13¢ $10 34d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 0¢ $5 34d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 2¢ $10 34d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 3¢ $5 34d
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner BUY Kiwoom DRX 6¢ $5 34d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-22.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +56.1% +41.2% 33% 33% +37.1%
≤30d 8 +17.1% +5.9% 25% 25% +5.7%
≤90d 105 -46.3% -51.4% 18% 16% -45.9%
all 233 -14.2% -22.3% 27% 24% -35.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.0 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.3% 24% -35.1%
10% -29.8% 22% -41.3%
15% -36.6% 19% -47.0%
20% -42.8% 16% -52.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $23.19 · official $23.19 (match) · 1155 history records