Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T00:23:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ea8…7347
sports · 916 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$67 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$63 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$575
Realized−$63
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses536 / 305
Est. fees paid−$18
Open positions75
Markets (closed)841 / 916
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day362.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 75 History 841 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$8
7 days+$16
14 days−$63
30 days−$63
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No 95¢ 98¢ $145 $151 +$6 (+4%)
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $46 $46 −$0 (-0%)
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? Yes 94¢ 94¢ $25 $25 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 15? Yes 76¢ 96¢ $17 $21 +$4 (+26%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $19 $20 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 16? Yes 69¢ 96¢ $11 $15 +$4 (+39%)
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 97¢ 98¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 14? Yes 89¢ 98¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+11%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.2–0.3%? Yes 80¢ 88¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+9%)
Sweden vs. Tunisia: O/U 2.5 Under 58¢ 56¢ $11 $10 −$0 (-3%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0.1–0.2%? No 91¢ 95¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+4%)
Will Sánchez win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? No 100¢ 99¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 18? Yes 95¢ 94¢ $10 $9 −$0 (-2%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 53¢ 55¢ $9 $9 +$0 (+3%)
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? No 88¢ 88¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 80¢ 80¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 0–0.1%? No 98¢ 98¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-0%)
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? No 94¢ 94¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 14? Yes 72¢ 99¢ $4 $6 +$2 (+38%)
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 16? Yes 76¢ 94¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+24%)
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) Japan 75¢ 74¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Yes 26¢ 26¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-3%)
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17? No 82¢ 81¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
England vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 Over 44¢ 44¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? No 97¢ 97¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $29 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $3 +$2 +54%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$4 -44%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? Jun 12 $3 +$1 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4PM ET Jun 12 $9 $0 +4%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $3 +$3 +107%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +8%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -41%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$2 +20%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -26%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$1 -16%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$3 +31%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +7%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 12? Jun 12 $30 +$3 +9%
Will the price of XRP be above $1.00 on June 12? Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $56 +$13 +24%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $20 +$1 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $4 $0 +3%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -40%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $6 −$4 -73%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 47% −$40
crypto 38% −$37
other 9% +$9
politics 5% +$7
weather 1% −$9
world 0% +$1
tech 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $9 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 33m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $9 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 13¢ $2 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $17 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $9 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $12 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Down 17¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $6 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $3 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $7 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 11¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $9 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $9 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 20¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $9 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $10 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-12.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 544 +2.3% -7.4% 72% 42% -9.1%
≤30d 841 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 42% -11.0%
≤90d 841 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 42% -11.0%
all 841 -3.1% -12.3% 64% 42% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover362.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.3% 42% -11.0%
10% ← realistic here -20.7% 31% -19.5%
15% -28.4% 21% -27.3%
20% -35.4% 16% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $574.77 · official $574.78 (match) · 3500 history records