Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:29:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6ea5…b155
crypto · 443 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$50 · open −$31
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$294
Realized−$50
Unrealized−$31
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses155 / 236
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions52
Markets (closed)391 / 443
History coverage75d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day17.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 52 History 391 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$59
7 days+$37
14 days+$49
30 days+$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will United States win on 2026-06-25? Yes 39¢ 40¢ $15 $15 +$1 (+4%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Yes 47¢ 48¢ $15 $15 +$0 (+1%)
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? Yes 26¢ 27¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? No 84¢ 86¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
France leading at halftime? Yes 49¢ 48¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 12¢ 11¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? Yes 18¢ 16¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-8%)
Switzerland leading at halftime? Yes 63¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+59%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 60¢ 95¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+58%)
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on June 13? No 85¢ 100¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+18%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 67¢ 76¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+13%)
Will OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? Yes 28¢ 31¢ $5 $5 +$1 (+11%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? No 92¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? No 78¢ 84¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? No 81¢ 87¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on June 13? No 94¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 14? No 88¢ 93¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+6%)
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on June 14? No 93¢ 96¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+3%)
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? No 81¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? No 87¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 63¢ 64¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 13? No 89¢ 89¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$3 +62%
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +24%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 13 $5 +$13 +262%
Will MrBeast say "Chocolate" during his next YouTube video? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$2 +31%
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +49%
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$3 +51%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 +$1 +17%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$4 -36%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 13 $20 −$20 -99%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$18 +365%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 +$22 +442%
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Games Total: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $5 +$6 +114%
United States leading at halftime? Jun 13 $10 +$20 +197%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 13? Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +24%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$3 +56%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
United States vs. Paraguay: Draw at halftime? Jun 12 $10 −$10 -98%
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the #1 song on US Spotify this Jun 12 $10 +$4 +42%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $5 +$4 +86%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$8 +81%
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? Jun 12 $5 +$11 +215%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +23%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on June 12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $10 +$4 +42%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 3.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +27%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $10 +$1 +10%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $5 +$6 +124%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 +$3 +57%
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 12? Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $5 −$5 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 +$2 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 09 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $8 +$7 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 09 $7 −$7 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$103
other 12% −$21
sports 7% +$42
weather 6% −$3
world 1% $0
culture 0% +$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Australia win on 2026-06-19? BUY No 84¢ $5 40m
Will United States vs. Australia end in a draw? BUY No 79¢ $5 40m
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? BUY Yes 26¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on June 14? BUY No 78¢ $5 1h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 14? BUY No 70¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 13¢ $5 1h
Spread: Canada (-2.5) BUY Canada 28¢ $5 2h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? BUY No 81¢ $5 2h
Switzerland leading at halftime? BUY Yes 63¢ $5 2h
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 15? BUY No 95¢ $5 3h
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 24¢ $5 3h
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY No 81¢ $5 4h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco? BUY No 87¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 69¢ $5 4h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 61¢ $5 5h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $5 5h
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? BUY Yes 12¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 6h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 42¢ $0 6h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? BUY No 84¢ $5 6h
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? BUY No 67¢ $5 6h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 76¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 6h
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 15? BUY No 85¢ $5 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 18¢ $5 6h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 60¢ $0 6h
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 15¢ $5 6h
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? SELL Yes 75¢ $1 6h
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play BUY EDward Gaming 27¢ $5 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-11.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 +10.0% -0.4% 60% 56% -0.0%
≤30d 67 +22.1% +10.5% 63% 58% +2.8%
≤90d 391 -1.8% -11.2% 40% 24% -11.8%
all 391 -1.8% -11.2% 40% 24% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover17.3 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.2% 24% -11.8%
10% -19.7% 20% -20.2%
15% -27.4% 17% -27.9%
20% -34.6% 13% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $294.19 · official $294.19 (match) · 1495 history records