Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T16:37:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ea4…faa8 crypto 62 markets active 2d ago coverage 4d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$63 (-17%) realized −$63 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -8% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR27%break-even
Win rate39%24W / 38L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day39.8pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 4d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 98% −$89
other 2% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-16.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 62 -7.8% -16.5% 39% 27% -30.7%
≤30d 62 -7.8% -16.5% 39% 27% -30.7%
≤90d 62 -7.8% -16.5% 39% 27% -30.7%
all 62 -7.8% -16.5% 39% 27% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover39.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.5% 27% -30.7%
10% ← realistic here -24.5% 21% -37.4%
15% -31.8% 15% -43.4%
20% -38.5% 13% -49.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 24% · top 2 39% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -24% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
21% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -8% · $-wt -24% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -11% → late -5% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.5 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.53 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.33 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

4d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$63
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses24 / 38
Open positions0
Markets (closed)62 / 62
History coverage4d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day39.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 62 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +12%
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? Jun 15 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$18 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$6 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +290%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$1 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$2 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$3 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 11 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$5 +102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$3 -55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $5 +$4 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $6 −$2 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +35%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 19¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 36¢ $1 2d
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? SELL Yes 19¢ $9 2d
Will Justin Gaethje win by KO or TKO? BUY Yes 15¢ $7 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET SELL Up 72¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 18¢ $11 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET SELL Up 14¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 1¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 3¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET SELL Up 33¢ $16 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $11 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $4 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 51¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $0 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $5 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $2 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 3d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 3d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 183 history records