Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T17:27:00+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
6E 0x6ea3…0fa1 crypto 274 markets active 0h ago coverage 24d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$87 (-4%) realized −$87 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -4% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -20% what you keep after slip
Net edge-20%after slip
Net WR4%break-even
Win rate86%237W / 37L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$8per market
Trades / day16.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days+$2
14 days−$2
30 days−$106
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$95
other 0% −$10
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-13.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 34 -3.6% -12.7% 91% 6% -9.0%
≤30d 274 -4.1% -13.3% 86% 4% -13.9%
≤90d 274 -4.1% -13.3% 86% 4% -13.9%
all 274 -4.1% -13.3% 86% 4% -13.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover16.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.3% 4% -13.9%
10% -21.6% 1% -22.1%
15% -29.2% 0% -29.6%
20% -36.1% 0% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 5% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
95% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -4% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late -4% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$5 · ×0.07 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.42 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

24d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$87
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)86%
Wins / losses237 / 37
Open positions0
Markets (closed)274 / 274
History coverage24d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day16.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 274 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 03 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 02 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 02 $5 −$4 -93%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $0 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $7 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 645 history records