trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +3.2% | -6.6% | 100% | 0% | -8.7% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 6 | +0.9% | -8.7% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | +0.4% | -9.1% | 41% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.1% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -17.8% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.8% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.0% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 18 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 17 | $7 | $0 | +6% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 03 | $18 | $0 | -1% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 03 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | May 27 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arab | May 26 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Atlanta Braves win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on December 31? | Jun 08 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will global temperature increase by between 1.10-1.14ºC in May 2025? | Jun 06 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will LaTanya Richardson Jackson win the Tony for Best Leading Actress | Jun 05 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the National Party of Suriname win the most seats in the 2025 Sur | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana dip to $80 in May? | Jun 02 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Fridolin Ambongo Besungu be the next pope? | May 10 | $2 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Robert Sarah be the next pope? | Apr 25 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 25 | $4 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Solana reach $190 in April? | Apr 25 | $11 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Ahn Cheol-soo be the People's Power Party candidate for president | Apr 25 | $112 | $0 | -0% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Apr 25 | $112 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Baldassare Reina be the next pope? | Apr 25 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30? | Apr 25 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Susie Wiles be out as White House Chief of Staff in Trump's first | Apr 24 | $123 | $0 | -0% |