Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:06:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e8d…2ba4
sports · 15 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ Small sample
Net worth$3
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses7 / 5
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)12 / 15
History coverage7d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day4.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit73%
Chart Positions 3 History 12 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1
7 days−$1
14 days−$1
30 days−$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 59¢ 58¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Bilibili Gaming 71¢ 68¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-5%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI KT Rolster $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner KT Rolster 25¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $12 $0 +3%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -98%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $7 −$5 -66%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 -36%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +43%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $1 $0 +27%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 07 $1 $0 +39%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 79% −$6
other 21% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 59¢ $1 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $1 1h
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 71¢ $1 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 100¢ $11 1h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 94¢ $10 2h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Bilibili Gaming 84¢ $2 4h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY KT Rolster $1 6h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY KT Rolster 25¢ $1 6h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 98¢ $6 13h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 52¢ $2 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL Hanwha Life Esports 48¢ $1 28h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Hanwha Life Esports 80¢ $2 29h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI SELL T1 21¢ $1 29h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 48¢ $3 32h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? SELL No 100¢ $12 34h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 83¢ $5 35h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY No 84¢ $5 35h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) SELL Korea Republic 10¢ $1 35h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $1 35h
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner BUY Bilibili Gaming 81¢ $2 41h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY T1 50¢ $3 41h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $7 41h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 15¢ $1 2d
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $1 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $5 2d
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 93¢ $2 4d
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Bilibili Gaming 78¢ $1 5d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs SELL Top Esports 100¢ $1 6d
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs BUY Top Esports 71¢ $1 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-21.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 12 -13.4% -21.7% 58% 42% -11.0%
≤30d 12 -13.4% -21.7% 58% 42% -11.0%
≤90d 12 -13.4% -21.7% 58% 42% -11.0%
all 12 -13.4% -21.7% 58% 42% -11.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.7% 42% -11.0%
10% -29.2% 33% -19.5%
15% -36.0% 25% -27.3%
20% -42.3% 8% -34.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.94 · official $2.94 (match) · 32 history records