Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:41:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e83…67d5
crypto · 1582 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$608 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$608 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$608
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses913 / 669
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1582 / 1582
History coverage50d
Avg bet$12
Trades / day42.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5
7 days−$215
14 days−$393
30 days−$481
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Up 79¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$7 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$5 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$6 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $8 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$9 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$608
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $3 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 496 -2.3% -11.6% 66% 64% -16.8%
≤30d 925 -1.4% -10.8% 70% 56% -12.1%
≤90d 1582 -1.7% -11.0% 58% 49% -12.4%
all 1582 -1.7% -11.0% 58% 49% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover42.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 49% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 43% -20.8%
15% -27.3% 35% -28.4%
20% -34.4% 25% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records