Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:30:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e7d…9d55
other · 250 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$85 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$85 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Net worth$0
Realized−$85
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses18 / 232
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)250 / 250
History coverage134d
Avg bet$228
Trades / day9.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit61%
Chart Positions 0 History 250 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$18
14 days−$26
30 days−$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $876 −$1 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $656 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 12 $292 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $384 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $583 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $503 −$1 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $398 $0 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $316 −$1 -0%
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 10 $226 −$1 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 10 $869 −$2 -0%
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 10 $66 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $523 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 10 $298 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 09 $152 $0 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $190 $0 -0%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 09 $66 $0 -0%
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $702 −$1 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 08 $120 $0 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $369 $0 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $552 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 07 $234 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $445 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 07 $82 $0 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 07 $294 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $226 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $242 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $462 −$1 -0%
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 06 $570 −$1 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 06 $244 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $706 −$1 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $395 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 05 $255 −$1 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 04 $152 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $322 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 02 $270 −$1 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 02 $71 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $425 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 01 $619 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 01 $246 $0 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 31 $361 −$1 -0%
Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $168 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 30 $370 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 30 $73 $0 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $226 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 29 $167 $0 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 28 $226 −$1 -0%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? May 28 $75 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? May 27 $152 $0 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $466 −$1 -0%
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? May 25 $186 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 45% −$36
sports 22% −$20
economics 9% −$8
politics 8% −$8
crypto 6% −$2
culture 6% −$8
world 3% −$3
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $65 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $65 2h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $65 5h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $65 7h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 98¢ $65 8h
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 98¢ $65 9h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $65 12h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $65 14h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $65 22h
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $65 24h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $65 25h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $65 26h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $65 28h
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $65 30h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $65 35h
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $66 37h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 45h
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 47h
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 98¢ $66 2d
Will the Minnesota Vikings win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 98¢ $66 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 99¢ $66 2d
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $66 2d
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $66 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $66 2d
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $66 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 69 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 179 -0.1% -9.6% 6% 1% -9.7%
all 250 -0.1% -9.6% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.9 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.6% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1392 history records