Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

6E
0x6e78…7c30
sports · 4 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$3 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)4 / 4
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day12.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 0 History 4 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$3
30 days−$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $16 −$2 -10%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 83% −$3
other 17% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 52¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 53¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 52¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 53¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 SELL Over 52¢ $5 1h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 BUY Over 53¢ $5 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 SELL Under 73¢ $5 1h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 BUY Under 77¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 46¢ $5 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 SELL Over 81¢ $5 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Brazil O/U 0.5 BUY Over 83¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-19.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 4 -10.6% -19.1% 0% 0% -19.0%
≤30d 4 -10.6% -19.1% 0% 0% -19.0%
≤90d 4 -10.6% -19.1% 0% 0% -19.0%
all 4 -10.6% -19.1% 0% 0% -19.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover12.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -19.1% 0% -19.0%
10% -26.8% 0% -26.7%
15% -33.9% 0% -33.8%
20% -40.4% 0% -40.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 12 history records